@Geiger_Capital Geiger_Capital
Perma-bull macro/thematic synthesizer fusing politics, AI-compute, and LatAm regime trades
Pseudonymous trader/commentator running a paid newsletter wh
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 15 scored bets: 27% hit rate, -0.82% mean alpha, trader score -1.47. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.4% since posting (mean over 6 mentions with price data).
Geiger_Capital is mostly trading a macro tape: early risk-on calls around SPX, Iran deal optimism, and year-end upside gave way to hawkish Warsh/Fed concerns and renewed Hormuz risk. Single-name public-equity focus is thin, with bullish attention on SPCX/TSLA as SpaceX/Elon proxies and a relative WYFI-over-CBRS call. Position disclosure is concentrated in unnamed Colombian exposures around the election, without public tickers attached.
The week starts risk-on, with an SPX 8,500 year-end call, Iran deal optimism, and bullish SpaceX proxy chatter. Midweek flips more cautious around Warsh, higher hike odds, and hawkish Fed interpretation, while late-week Hormuz headlines add geopolitical downside. There are no CALL_DIRECTIONAL trades, but disclosed positioning centers on unnamed Colombian exposures and a thin WYFI-over-CBRS proxy comparison.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Says healthcare and social services are responsible for almost all net job gains. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Claims U.S. added 716K payroll jobs during Trump's second term and about 90% went to women. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Expresses broad bullish U.S. exceptionalism sentiment. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | June jobs +57K versus 113K expected; unemployment 4.2% versus 4.3% expected. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPY | @Geiger_Capital | +0.20 | Trump Accounts launch gives eligible children $1,000 seed in S&P 500 from Treasury. | -0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Stock market has been higher in July for 11 straight years, average +3.2%, and author expects 12. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPY | @Geiger_Capital | +0.00 | Author recaps YTD portfolio performance of +52% versus S&P 500 +9%. | -0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Says upcoming portfolio review will list current positions and recap 1H performance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Notes futures are green and implies positive market tone for the day. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Says stock market opens in an hour and time to pump it. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Announces upcoming portfolio review covering performance, positions, and Q3 thinking. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @Geiger_Capital | · | Reports Trump saying Iran violated ceasefire with Hormuz drone attack. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | GAP | @Geiger_Capital | +0.65 | Explicitly says bullish for GAP | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | CBRS | @Geiger_Capital | -0.40 | Recaps proxy bet outperforming since Cerebras IPO with CBRS down and WYFI up | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | WYFI | @Geiger_Capital | +0.50 | Recaps proxy bet outperforming since Cerebras IPO with CBRS down and WYFI up | -18.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.