Author

@GordonJohnson19 GordonJohnson19

Austrian-leaning macro bear tracing Fed liquidity plumbing into TSLA and crypto shorts

Builds mechanistic macro-liquidity frameworks (Fed balance s

trader score
-1.62
hit rate
30%
mean α
-0.90%
signals 14d
32

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -0.90% mean alpha, trader score -1.62. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.8% since posting (mean over 19 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-25·@GordonJohnson19·Claims US-listed AI companies benefit from revenue roundtripping unavailable to Chinese peers.·
2026-08-25TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.75Argues Tesla's Optimus thesis is persistently unsupported while China dominates robotics deployment.-0.4%
2026-08-24TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.90Cites falling delivery estimates, broad regional declines and extreme valuation.-0.1%
2026-08-24·@GordonJohnson19·Sees fiscal and military stress reflected in a 30-year yield above 5.2%.·
2026-08-24·@GordonJohnson19·Warns a contemplated policy would rapidly destroy the dollar's value.·
2026-08-22·@GordonJohnson19·Uses Bessent's fund record to reject his credibility on macro-market pricing.·
2026-08-22TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.65Daily FSD user says they would avoid unsupervised Tesla robotaxis.-3.9%
2026-08-22TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.85Quantifies a vast shortfall versus Tesla's promised robotaxi deployment.-3.9%
2026-08-22TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.75Contrasts Tesla's year-end robotaxi promise with roughly 40 monitored cars and zero access.-3.9%
2026-08-22TSLA@GordonJohnson19+0.00Recaps Musk's explicit 2025 robotaxi deployment targets for Tesla.-3.9%
2026-08-22TSLA@GordonJohnson19+0.20Reports Musk saying Tesla revenue would exceed estimates, while questioning his guidance record.-3.9%
2026-08-21TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.75China regulatory issues and falling sales are presented as threats to FSD approval.-3.9%
2026-08-21TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.55Tweet reports two NHTSA probes, wrongful-death suits and legislation tied to 15 deaths.-3.9%
2026-08-21TSLA@GordonJohnson19-0.40Tesla's largest China recall covers 5.7M vehicles over emergency-exit visibility.-3.9%
2026-08-21·@GordonJohnson19·Argues bond-market signals are more reliable than equity-market signals.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.