Author

@greg_ip greg_ip

WSJ chief economics commentator reconciling macro data with rigorous, quantified frameworks

Writes original macro-economic analysis and commentary, deco

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
7

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +19.6% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).

Recent signals7receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-06-29·@greg_ip·Argues Fed independence has been weakened by presidential intimidation risk.·
2026-06-25·@greg_ip·Discusses rise of state capitalism and government stakes in AI companies.·
2026-06-25MU@greg_ip-0.50Questions sustainability of Micron 80% gross margins and expects supply/demand pressure on prices.-19.6%
2026-06-25·@greg_ip·Argues AI-driven memory price shock should not be treated as unambiguously inflationary.·
2026-06-25·@greg_ip·Says software and quality effects argue against hawkish inflation interpretation.·
2026-06-25·@greg_ip·Warns against hawkish read of firm core PCE because core CPI is lower.·
2026-06-23·@greg_ip·Author says the stealth manufacturing boom continues.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.