Author
@GS_CapSF GS_CapSF
grade Bx.com/GS_CapSF ↗
Opinionated AI-compute bull who maps private-lab economics onto public hyperscaler and semi proxies
Original sector analyst posting high-conviction, position-di
trader score
-0.46
hit rate
47%
mean α
-0.30%
signals 14d
11
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 15 scored bets: 47% hit rate, -0.30% mean alpha, trader score -0.46. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.0% since posting (mean over 5 mentions with price data).
Recent signals11receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GS_CapSF | · | States demand exceeds supply, but the affected market is unspecified. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @GS_CapSF | · | Rejects a perceived miss by citing the fastest-ever ramp to $100B revenue. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MU | @GS_CapSF | +0.65 | Sarcastically rejects an AI bubble, citing low infrastructure valuations. | -5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @GS_CapSF | +0.65 | Sarcastically rejects an AI bubble, citing low infrastructure valuations. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SMH | @GS_CapSF | +0.55 | Sarcastically rejects an AI bubble, citing low infrastructure valuations. | -5.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @GS_CapSF | · | Rejects the bubble narrative because market euphoria is absent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | GOOGL | @GS_CapSF | +0.35 | Describes major hardware, networking, and algorithmic gains lowering AI compute costs. | -8.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @GS_CapSF | · | Argues leading AI labs have talent concentration and durable platform lock-in moats. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @GS_CapSF | · | Expects SaaS margins to erode as vendors pay AI labs for functionality. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @GS_CapSF | · | Defends a fast-growing company's 20x ARR valuation against bubble claims. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | META | @GS_CapSF | -0.55 | Argues META-related ARR growth decelerates materially after a customer and token policy reversal. | -13.4% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.