Author · brief 2026-08-16

@habittrade

ETF/sector movers data feed

etf-data

trader score
-0.65
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.56%
signals 14d
29

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-08-16.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.56% mean alpha, trader score -0.65. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.2% since posting (mean over 22 mentions with price data).

Dashboard flags tech momentum, earnings catalysts, and September caution

The author discloses no positions or directional trades, instead highlighting technology earnings, recent equity and ETF momentum, and Nvidia-linked AI infrastructure financing. The distinctive late-window read is macro caution: August remains constructive, but buyer demand could weaken in September.

Disclosed booknames the author says they hold — positions, not commentary

No positions disclosed this window — everything below is commentary, not book talk.

Themes4analyst read · 2026-08-16
Technology earnings catalyst watch
neutralNEW7 signals
Recent technology stock momentum
bullintensifying5 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are COHR — flag pump risk
Leveraged and hard-asset ETF momentum
bullNEW5 signals
AI capital spending and semiconductor catalysts
bullNEW5 signals
Hypotheses14what the author said, ticker-anchored — ✓ skin = disclosed position behind it
claimtickerdirstrengthsignalsskinthemereceipt
TQQQ ranked among the leading ETFs over the preceding five days.TQQQ0.015·Leveraged and hard-asset ETF mom
NVDA’s partnership could mobilize more than $500 billion for AI infrastructure investment.NVDA0.013·AI capital spending and semicond
AXTI ranked among the prior week’s positively performing technology stocks.AXTI0.013·Recent technology stock momentum
TEAM appeared among the prior week’s positive technology performers.TEAM0.013·Recent technology stock momentum
SOXL showed positive five-day momentum alongside other leading ETFs.SOXL0.013·Leveraged and hard-asset ETF mom
SOXL’s recent leadership signals positive momentum in leveraged semiconductor exposure.SOXL0.013·AI capital spending and semicond
GDX was highlighted as a recent hard-asset ETF momentum leader.GDX0.012·Leveraged and hard-asset ETF mom
PSLV was highlighted among the five-day ETF momentum leaders.PSLV0.012·Leveraged and hard-asset ETF mom
COHR combined positive recent performance with an upcoming earnings catalyst.COHR0.002·Recent technology stock momentum
COHR is among the companies on the weekly earnings watch list.COHR0.006·Technology earnings catalyst wat
LITE is included in the technology-focused earnings event watch.LITE0.006·Technology earnings catalyst wat
NBIS is flagged as an upcoming earnings catalyst without a directional view.NBIS0.002·Technology earnings catalyst wat
AMAT is highlighted as an earnings event to monitor.AMAT0.002·Technology earnings catalyst wat
AMAT is a semiconductor earnings catalyst under observation rather than an explicit directional call.AMAT0.002·AI capital spending and semicond
Direction this week

The author emphasized positive technology and ETF momentum while monitoring earnings across optical, semiconductor, cloud-compute, and consumer names. There were no disclosed adds, trims, exits, or directional calls, so conviction trajectory is not demonstrated; the only late-window change was a cautious regime note warning that September buyer demand may weaken.

Per-ticker coverage22positions first, then by signal count
tickersignalssentimentcallsposnewsactionalignment
COHR2+0.15000neutral commentaryneutral
AXTI2+0.25000neutral commentaryneutral
AMZN1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
LITE1+0.00000neutral commentaryneutral
NVDA1+0.40000bullish commentarycommentary only
IGV1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
SOXL1+0.30000bullish commentarycommentary only
TEAM1+0.30000bullish commentarycommentary only
QLD1+0.30000bullish commentarycommentary only
TQQQ1+0.30000bullish commentarycommentary only
GDX1+0.30000bullish commentarycommentary only
AMAT1+0.00000neutral commentaryneutral
COWZ1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
XLY1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
CIBR1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
PSLV1+0.30000bullish commentarycommentary only
SNDK1+0.55000bullish commentarycommentary only
JD1+0.00000neutral commentaryneutral
MOAT1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
CRWV1+0.00000neutral commentaryneutral
MSFT1+0.20000neutral commentaryneutral
NBIS1+0.00000neutral commentaryneutral

Alignment separates skin-in-the-game from commentary: ✓ = the author discloses a position consistent with their talk; “call (no pos)” = directional call without a disclosed position; “commentary” = opinion only.

Best hypotheses1their highest-scoring claims in our index
Recent defense-sector leadership and RTX reaching an all-time high provide positive technical confirmation for ITA.
bullLOW1 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-24MSTR@HabitTrade+0.15Lists last week's leading movers in biotech, healthcare AI and crypto-related stocks.+3.8%
2026-08-24MRNA@HabitTrade+0.15Lists last week's leading movers in biotech, healthcare AI and crypto-related stocks.-0.6%
2026-08-24TEM@HabitTrade+0.15Lists last week's leading movers in biotech, healthcare AI and crypto-related stocks.-3.2%
2026-08-24IBIT@HabitTrade+0.15Reports that crypto and precious-metals ETFs led five-day performance rankings.-1.7%
2026-08-24PSLV@HabitTrade+0.15Reports that crypto and precious-metals ETFs led five-day performance rankings.·
2026-08-24FBTC@HabitTrade+0.15Reports that crypto and precious-metals ETFs led five-day performance rankings.-1.6%
2026-08-24GDX@HabitTrade+0.15Reports that crypto and precious-metals ETFs led five-day performance rankings.-3.8%
2026-08-24GBTC@HabitTrade+0.15Reports that crypto and precious-metals ETFs led five-day performance rankings.-1.6%
2026-08-23PDD@HabitTrade+0.00Identifies selected companies scheduled to report earnings this week.-3.0%
2026-08-23LI@HabitTrade+0.00Identifies selected companies scheduled to report earnings this week.-6.3%
2026-08-23NVDA@HabitTrade+0.00Identifies selected companies scheduled to report earnings this week.+1.3%
2026-08-23MRVL@HabitTrade+0.00Identifies selected companies scheduled to report earnings this week.-8.6%
2026-08-23XPEV@HabitTrade+0.00Identifies selected companies scheduled to report earnings this week.-5.4%
2026-08-233690.HK@HabitTrade+0.00Identifies selected companies scheduled to report earnings this week.·
2026-08-21·@HabitTrade·Reports hedge-fund rotation from crowded AI trades into healthcare near a decade-high overweight.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.