Author

@herbgreenberg herbgreenberg

Veteran skeptical financial journalist sniffing out hype, insider selling, and promotion

Posts terse, contrarian, fundamentally-grounded skepticism o

trader score
+1.41
hit rate
75%
mean α
+1.40%
signals 14d
15

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 16 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +1.40% mean alpha, trader score +1.41. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.8% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-26NVDA@herbgreenberg-0.20Warns that market dependence on a single stock, Nvidia, is unhealthy.+3.8%
2026-08-25·@herbgreenberg·Argues modern market structure makes the speed of stock moves unusually unpredictable.·
2026-08-25DKS@herbgreenberg-0.45Mocks Dick's use of broad external factors to explain weak performance.+8.7%
2026-08-24·@herbgreenberg·Warns of a perfect storm from war, trade conflict and credit risk.·
2026-08-24LOPE@herbgreenberg-0.45LOPE placed its CFO on paid leave tied to a governmental stock-trading investigation.·
2026-08-24T@herbgreenberg-0.20Treats AT&T's inclusion in AI-bubble debate as evidence of speculative excess.+1.2%
2026-08-23QXO@herbgreenberg-0.20Promotes commentary on opposing views of CVNA and MOD and describes QXO as a quagmire.-1.7%
2026-08-23CVNA@herbgreenberg+0.00Promotes commentary on opposing views of CVNA and MOD and describes QXO as a quagmire.+5.9%
2026-08-23MOD@herbgreenberg+0.00Promotes commentary on opposing views of CVNA and MOD and describes QXO as a quagmire.-10.1%
2026-08-21·@herbgreenberg·Rejects financial engineering as a route to genuine prosperity.·
2026-08-20·@herbgreenberg·Warns supposedly riskless yield assets could become the riskiest portfolio holdings.·
2026-08-17NVDA@herbgreenberg-0.20Frames the Nvidia, SoftBank and OpenAI news through a skeptical AI-bubble comparison.-3.3%
2026-08-17SFTB.NE@herbgreenberg-0.20Frames the Nvidia, SoftBank and OpenAI news through a skeptical AI-bubble comparison.·
2026-08-16·@herbgreenberg·Frames the AI trade as a peak-polarization debate resembling prior crypto and SPAC cycles.·
2026-08-15·@herbgreenberg·Characterizes the economy as severely bifurcated based on renovation and flooring demand.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.