Author
@IamBitcoinTrail IamBitcoinTrail
grade Bx.com/IamBitcoinTrail ↗
Anon crypto-miner forensic bear who models dilution cycles and power capacity
Posts tickered, reasoned directional calls on Bitcoin-mining
trader score
-1.34
hit rate
40%
mean α
-2.72%
signals 14d
21
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -2.72% mean alpha, trader score -1.34. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.4% since posting (mean over 13 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | IREN | @IamBitcoinTrail | +0.35 | Discloses IREN as the largest holding with no shares sold while discussing execution risks. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | IREN | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.45 | Calls IREN Cloud vaporware and criticizes its absent go-to-market strategy. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @IamBitcoinTrail | · | Author states SEC institutional lawsuits and fines are on track for their lowest level. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SLNH | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.95 | Author says a $10M SLNH investment from the 2021 bull run would now be worth $10K. | -6.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | IREN | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.75 | Author criticizes IREN Cloud's go-to-market execution and unclear value proposition versus AWS and Google. | -12.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | IREN | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.70 | Added WYFI shares and bought IREN puts amid concerns over IREN strategy. — Discloses same-day accumulation of WYFI and a new bearish IREN put position. | -12.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | WYFI | @IamBitcoinTrail | +0.70 | Added WYFI shares and bought IREN puts amid concerns over IREN strategy. — Discloses same-day accumulation of WYFI and a new bearish IREN put position. | -8.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | IREN | @IamBitcoinTrail | +0.80 | Reiterates a personal $100 price forecast for IREN in a humorous framing. | -10.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @IamBitcoinTrail | · | Plans to buy some of the unspecified dip. — Expresses forward dip-buying intent, but the asset is not identified. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | SLNH | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.70 | Blames Soluna's toxic lender relationship for sustained weak price action. | -4.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @IamBitcoinTrail | · | Clarifies that borrow rates have not moved and shares remain easy to locate, based only on IBKR reporting. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | BTC | @IamBitcoinTrail | +0.20 | Author characterizes the Bitcoin bull market as historically muted. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | ENVX | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.75 | Author mock-quotes Enovix as never delivering a smartphone battery. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | IREN | @IamBitcoinTrail | +0.00 | Author reports 9.6M IREN shares traded after hours in a dark pool. | -16.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | CIFR | @IamBitcoinTrail | -0.55 | Highlights a 44% drop, absent catalysts and negative HPC news. | -4.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.