Author

@IanCutress IanCutress

PhD semiconductor analyst dissecting chip process, packaging, and interconnect at spec level

Provides deeply technical, primary-sourced analysis of the s

trader score
-6.27
hit rate
15%
mean α
-3.38%
signals 14d
11

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 15% hit rate, -3.38% mean alpha, trader score -6.27. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.1% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).

Recent signals11receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-26MRVL@IanCutress-0.15Argues custom HBM4 work by Broadcom and Marvell is technically straightforward and overhyped by investors.-11.6%
2026-08-26AVGO@IanCutress-0.15Argues custom HBM4 work by Broadcom and Marvell is technically straightforward and overhyped by investors.+3.7%
2026-08-25META@IanCutress+0.00Relays a vague confirmation that Meta's MTIA400 scale-out remains Ethernet-based.+1.4%
2026-08-25NVDA@IanCutress-0.25Links analysis of an OpenAI chip presentation claiming performance faster than NVIDIA.+2.1%
2026-08-23·@IanCutress·Forecasts 50% SRAM scaling from CFETs around 2031 and identifies quantization as Cerebras's near-term lever.·
2026-08-23·@IanCutress·Summarizes zHBM thermal research, including a 141C hotspot and two remedies reducing temperature by 20C.·
2026-08-23·@IanCutress·Reviews private AI-chip company Etched while reserving judgment on its claimed performance.·
2026-08-20TSM@IanCutress+0.15Announces a small TSMC ecosystem project about collaboration and competition in next-generation chips.+0.4%
2026-08-19·@IanCutress·Cerebras WSE3 Turbo and CS-4 rack deliver up to twice the performance and 4,500 tokens per second.·
2026-08-15INTC@IanCutress+0.00Describes historical AMD and Intel transfers of processor designs to partners.-12.7%
2026-08-15AMD@IanCutress+0.00Describes historical AMD and Intel transfers of processor designs to partners.-9.5%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.