Author

@illyquid illyquid

Anon semiconductor supply-chain sleuth surfacing obscure Asian component and equipment names

Maps AI/memory/optics demand down through the semiconductor

trader score
+0.00
hit rate
38%
mean α
+0.00%
signals 14d
22

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 16 scored bets: 38% hit rate, +0.00% mean alpha, trader score +0.00. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.0% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02META@illyquid+0.25Cites Meta contracting over 5GW of cloud and colocation capacity in six months.
2026-07-02NVDA@illyquid+0.25Positive note names Nanya P as potential second-source CCL supplier to Nvidia.
2026-07-02GOOGL@illyquid+0.10Mentions Google attach revenue figures including CXL in CY27/CY28.
2026-06-30RSNHF@illyquid+0.15Nikkei reports Guangyuan shipping T Glass to Panasonic and Resonac, increasing supply.·
2026-06-30PCRFY@illyquid+0.15Nikkei reports Guangyuan shipping T Glass to Panasonic and Resonac, increasing supply.·
2026-06-30·@illyquid·Critical Holdings won an EPC contract tied to Lam for a Kulim ASRS warehouse.·
2026-06-28·@illyquid·Kyocera plans 650B yen component investment for semicap and AI data center demand.·
2026-06-28·@illyquid·References Google paper arguing against CXL memory pooling for investors to reassess.·
2026-06-24·@illyquid·Kioxia management discussed stock split, long-term contracts, ADS timing, and shareholder changes.·
2026-06-24VACN.SW@illyquid+0.45Uses VAT Group order strength and WFE vacuum exposure to infer demand for a smaller peer.·
2026-06-24MU@illyquid+0.35Says Micron earnings had a notable impact, with linked context.-7.0%
2026-06-24·@illyquid·Reports HSBC and UBS upgrades with TWD 235 and 230 targets, but ticker context missing.·
2026-06-23·@illyquid·Says supply crunch is only getting worse, but no ticker specified.·
2026-06-23·@illyquid·Kingboard Laminates AI PCB materials narrative with stake, rally, and margin forecast data.·
2026-06-22·@illyquid·Jefferies sees upstream PCB materials outperforming downstream names due to supply tightness.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.