Author
@jailhousetom jailhousetom
grade Cx.com/jailhousetom ↗
Japanese active trader running a SoftBank-NAV/ARM-semis thesis with transparent live trades
Real-time discretionary trading of Japanese and US semis, So
trader score
+2.42
hit rate
80%
mean α
+2.09%
signals 14d
81
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 80% hit rate, +2.09% mean alpha, trader score +2.42. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.9% since posting (mean over 9 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says Japanese stocks may face upside pressure next week from July ETF distribution selling. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Constructive on SoftBank Group over time but no explicit ticker is provided. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Mentions futures short setup if rejected after breaking 70000, but does not name instrument. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Reports taking a short-term futures rebound trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Keep taking small USD/JPY shorts. — Says he will keep taking small, steady shorts in dollar-yen. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says SoftBank focus should be accumulation at cheap levels, not short-term price timing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says yen weakness is fundamental and fine, though he reduced USD/JPY position. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Enter Nikkei futures long if 70600-70800 bounce confirms — Author wants to enter long again if Nikkei futures rebound confirms near 70600-70800. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says Tsugami is making further new highs, but no ticker is provided. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says satisfied with futures trading, a past-tense recap with no ticker. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Recaps taking 1000 points from Nikkei futures long. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says Nikkei futures long entry here is textbook and starts from here. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Buy Nikkei futures long after 70200 recovery or probe near 69900 — Explicit Nikkei futures long plan with 69,700, 70,200 and 69,900 levels. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says SoftBank upside is heavy but downside limited and author added gradually today, no ticker given. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @jailhousetom | · | Says futures may break above 70600. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.