Author
@JaredKubin JaredKubin
grade Ax.com/JaredKubin ↗
Pod-shop-minded AI/positioning analyst who explains the market plumbing behind moves
Posts dense, framework-driven analysis of AI-ecosystem funda
trader score
+1.39
hit rate
60%
mean α
+1.20%
signals 14d
25
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +1.20% mean alpha, trader score +1.39. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +7.8% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Notes increased short positioning for protection following Warsh's speech. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Relays Morgan Stanley's view that software is underowned. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Observes software flow shifting from morning short covering toward genuine buying, resembling 2017. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Explains how a -3% move can have radically different z-scores across 60- and 252-day windows. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Says funds were offsides, covering liquid software names, while software exposure was near decade lows. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CRM | @JaredKubin | +0.60 | Argues AI leaders' software usage validates the April software-sector bottom. | +24.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CRM | @JaredKubin | +0.75 | Calls the SaaS collapse canceled as CRM rises 14% after hours on major-customer validation. | +24.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @JaredKubin | -0.25 | Quantifies hidden Nvidia-correlated portfolio risk and downside VaR before earnings. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Introduces an educational explanation of pod-level risk limits and blowup mechanics. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Questions whether AI economics justify borrowing and spending while noting persistent negative flows. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Finds agents transformative for output but dangerously error-prone without rigorous review. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | NVDA | @JaredKubin | -0.20 | Reviews weak AI and semiconductor flows while listing month-end earnings and macro catalysts. | +1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | CRWD | @JaredKubin | +0.00 | Reviews weak AI and semiconductor flows while listing month-end earnings and macro catalysts. | +13.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | MRVL | @JaredKubin | -0.20 | Reviews weak AI and semiconductor flows while listing month-end earnings and macro catalysts. | -8.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | · | @JaredKubin | · | Describes unusually negative relative flows and a model classifying buyers, covers, sellers and shorts. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.