Author

@JeffGabel JeffGabel

Conviction-driven defense-tech thematic researcher who lives in the ONDS / autonomous-warfare supply chain

Original research and community-style idea generation on aut

trader score
-2.58
hit rate
35%
mean α
-2.66%
signals 14d
96

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -2.66% mean alpha, trader score -2.58. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -9.8% since posting (mean over 55 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15·@JeffGabel·Gives an unnamed asset a 40 target and 20-25 billion market-cap estimate over 5-7 years.·
2026-10-15AVAV@JeffGabel-0.20Views AVAV as the more important direct competitor in a defense-autonomy platform comparison.+0.0%
2026-10-15AMZN@JeffGabel+0.05Argues drone regulation and public acceptance could unlock broad commercial use cases.-2.7%
2026-10-15AVAV@JeffGabel+0.05Expresses concern about crowded unmanned-boat competition while expecting some drone orders.+0.0%
2026-10-15AVAV@JeffGabel+0.55Bullish defense-autonomy thesis highlights AVAV capabilities and directed-energy sales potential.+0.0%
2026-10-15AMPX@JeffGabel+0.35Briefly praises AMPX supply-chain execution.-2.6%
2026-10-15KAZR@JeffGabel+0.50Links Kazakhstan's tungsten resources and defense demand to a positive KAZR investment theme.·
2026-10-15AVAV@JeffGabel+0.30Positively evaluates AVAV's defense marketing as clear and mission-focused.+0.0%
2026-10-14AVAV@JeffGabel+0.40Reports a collaboration MOU and suggests AVAV may supply a vessel for Taiwan's coast guard.+2.2%
2026-10-14ODYS@JeffGabel+0.40Calls a budget update good news for ODYS without supplying the underlying details.·
2026-10-14MDB@JeffGabel-0.60Reports another executive departure and additional director share sales, concluding MDB appears broken.+4.2%
2026-10-14ASTS@JeffGabel+0.45Expresses support for ASTS while discussing constrained reach.-5.6%
2026-10-14·@JeffGabel·Anticipates a major announcement tied to Israel's new low-altitude defense corps.·
2026-10-14DUKR@JeffGabel+0.40Highlights long-standing Israeli drone technology and current royalty revenue.·
2026-10-14XTND@JeffGabel+0.65Praises XTND's performance in the urban-conflict use case expected to suit it.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.