Author
@JeffWeniger JeffWeniger
grade Ax.com/JeffWeniger ↗
Contrarian macro strategist who weaponizes market history and base rates against Mega-cap froth
Publishes data- and chart-driven top-down macro and relative
trader score
-0.02
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.02%
signals 14d
8
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 5 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.02% mean alpha, trader score -0.02.
Recent signals8receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Author says low money supply growth is not yet a worry in summer 2026. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Yen break leaves no resistance until 176.60, a technical FX level. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SPX | @JeffWeniger | +0.10 | Argues margin debt versus S&P value is not evidence of excessive speculation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Bullish on gold as bond rally and falling 10-year yield may support it. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Reports SPR 3-month draw of 84M barrels, deepest on record. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Skeptical of forecasting distant free cash flow in 2029 or 2030. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Growth vs small value ratio failed resistance and broke long-term support. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-22 | · | @JeffWeniger | · | Record Brent crude short interest may lead to furious rallies. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.