Author

@JohnRothe JohnRothe

CMT technician mapping cross-asset rotation and macro-regime risk weekly

Publishes a weekly quantitative/technical market framework u

trader score
+0.64
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.38%
signals 14d
20

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 12 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.38% mean alpha, trader score +0.64. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +7.4% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16SPX@JohnRothe+0.45Reports bullish reversals in S&P 500 breadth and Nasdaq-100 point-and-figure signals.·
2026-10-16QQQ@JohnRothe+0.35Reports bullish reversals in S&P 500 breadth and Nasdaq-100 point-and-figure signals.-0.8%
2026-10-15SOXX@JohnRothe-0.20Identifies nearby SOXX support and warns that failure could lead to a retest of the July 29 lows.-7.1%
2026-10-13·@JohnRothe·Frames current market action as rotation out of technology and into other areas, not broad capital flight.·
2026-10-13·@JohnRothe·Reports a bearish reversal in the technology-sector Bullish Percent Index and explains the indicator.·
2026-10-12SOXX@JohnRothe-0.40Semiconductor ETF is testing support as momentum turns negative.-12.2%
2026-10-09·@JohnRothe·Lists four market conditions for distinguishing sector rotation from a reversal.·
2026-10-09·@JohnRothe·Frames S&P weakness as rotation from cap-weighted technology toward equal-weight stocks.·
2026-10-09·@JohnRothe·Argues European sovereign stress could drive Treasury demand and lower US yields.·
2026-10-09·@JohnRothe·Reports that a long-standing bond bear has turned bullish on bonds.·
2026-10-09·@JohnRothe·Uses a contrarian magazine-cover framework to argue the yield spike may be ending.·
2026-10-08QQQ@JohnRothe-0.45NASDAQ-100 bullish-percent index joins other indices in a defensive column of Os.-5.8%
2026-10-07SPX@JohnRothe-0.40Notes buying exhaustion, a failed new-high close, and no bullish follow-through.·
2026-10-06XLU@JohnRothe+0.45Utilities' bullish-percent index is rising from oversold conditions.+3.4%
2026-10-06TLT@JohnRothe+0.10Notes TLT is oversold but cautions that lower RSI readings may precede a larger reversal.+5.3%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.