Author · brief 2026-06-22

@JonkooTrades JonkooTrades

High-conviction retail bull mining obscure AI-semiconductor supply-chain microcaps with detailed theses

Posts bottom-up bullish theses, real-time long/add calls, an

trader score
-1.03
hit rate
30%
mean α
-1.37%
signals 14d
306

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -1.37% mean alpha, trader score -1.03. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.5% since posting (mean over 250 mentions with price data).

TRT dominates alongside optical AI infrastructure longs

JonkooTrades is heavily centered on long TRT, framing it as an overlooked AI semiconductor supply-chain and hidden-asset play tied to NVDA, AMD, COHR, and MU. He also discloses longs across AAOI, CRDO, PENG, NBIS, PL, and gold-linked TRX.TO, while rejecting ONDS and IREN as dead money. Late-window activity shows TRT becoming the dominant focus, with repeated deep dives, price-target language, technical breakout framing, and institutional-accumulation claims.

Themes5analyst read · 2026-06-22
TRT AI chip supply-chain re-rating
bullintensifying75 signals
⚠ 56% of theme signals are TRT — flag pump risk
Optical AI infrastructure longs
mixedfading51 signals
Small-cap disclosed long book
bullconsistent107 signals
Speculative IPO and dead-money avoidance
bearfading20 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Macro risk-on and event-driven upside
bullfading60 signals
Direction this week

Conviction is concentrated in TRT, which moves from a disclosed long into repeated AI supply-chain, hidden-asset, breakout, valuation-gap, and institutional-accumulation claims by June 17-21. He remains consistently bullish on AAOI, CRDO, PENG, NBIS, PL, and TRX.TO, while adding PNG.NE and exiting or rejecting ONDS. Pump risk is highest in TRT given its dominant signal share and repeated promotional framing.

Position disclosures9skin in the game
AAOI AAOI is his biggest position and part of a favored AAOI and CRDO barbell. held
CRDO CRDO is held as the other side of his AAOI and CRDO barbell. held
TRT Disclosed long TRT with bullish short-float and fundamentals thesis. held
PENG Disclosed PENG position from the $30s and sees $100 potential. held
TRX.TO Explicitly long TRX.TO for a gold-linked breakout. held
TRT Included TRT in an explicit five-name long-position disclosure. held
NBIS Included NBIS in an explicit five-name long-position disclosure. held
PL Says he is invested in PL and frames AI as the future. held
ONDS Used to be an ONDS investor, implying no current position. exited
Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
SPCE rally reflects mistaken SpaceX or SPCX proxy buying rather than direct economic exposure, making the move fundament
bearHIGH16 co-supporters
Recent AI GPU burn-in board orders validate TRT as a credible beneficiary of AI hardware testing demand.
bullMEDIUM6 co-supporters
Government quantum and chip funding can lift GFS-linked photonics and quantum-exposure baskets.
bullMEDIUM6 co-supporters
CPO, silicon photonics, and optical interconnect adoption should create durable demand for AEHR testing tools.
bullHIGH7 co-supporters
The GlobalFoundries collaboration validates SIVE lasers inside silicon-photonics reference designs and advances commerci
bullHIGH8 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-03·@JonkooTrades·Author calls a $200M shirt sponsorship a red flag for an unnamed data center company.·
2026-07-03QCOM@JonkooTrades+0.30Author says European market action looks great for listed tech and AI-related names.
2026-07-03PENG@JonkooTrades+0.30Author says European market action looks great for listed tech and AI-related names.
2026-07-03NOK@JonkooTrades+0.30Author says European market action looks great for listed tech and AI-related names.
2026-07-03AAOI@JonkooTrades+0.30Author says European market action looks great for listed tech and AI-related names.
2026-07-03STM@JonkooTrades+0.30Author says European market action looks great for listed tech and AI-related names.
2026-07-03NBIS@JonkooTrades+0.30Author says European market action looks great for listed tech and AI-related names.
2026-07-02·@JonkooTrades·Author broadly references all AI names but gives no ticker or clear standalone thesis.·
2026-07-02AAOI@JonkooTrades+0.75Author says he is still bullish and still long AAOI.
2026-07-02·@JonkooTrades·Author says it is dip buy or Valhalla, but no ticker is named.·
2026-07-02·@JonkooTrades·Author says Korea will pump tomorrow, but no tradable ticker is named.·
2026-07-02NVDA@JonkooTrades+0.50AI and semiconductor selloff framed as tape weakness despite buildout and capex still intact.
2026-07-02MU@JonkooTrades+0.35AI and semiconductor selloff framed as tape weakness despite buildout and capex still intact.
2026-07-02QQQ@JonkooTrades+0.10AI and semiconductor selloff framed as tape weakness despite buildout and capex still intact.
2026-07-02AVGO@JonkooTrades+0.45AI and semiconductor selloff framed as tape weakness despite buildout and capex still intact.

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.