@Kacper_PK_CH Kacper_PK_CH
Transparent commodity-supercycle trend trader weaving macro, FX and metals/ag into tickered plays
Trades a global commodity supercycle thesis (agriculture, me
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, +0.53% mean alpha, trader score +1.06. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.0% since posting (mean over 89 mentions with price data).
Kacper is mainly trading commodities and macro trend inflections: tactical longs in cocoa, rice, wheat and Brent, plus long-duration holds in energy, miners and select special situations. His distinctive read is that dollar/yield direction is the key cross-asset tell, with a stronger dollar pressuring metals and crypto while energy and some agriculture setups remain actionable. Late week he moved from planning cocoa exposure to taking a starter, closed prior soybean oil and oil winners, then looked for Brent re-entry while staying flexible on a possible dollar bull trap.
Conviction is concentrated in tactical commodity entries and long-duration energy or miner holds, with cocoa moving from planned starter to actual quarter-size position and ELE newly accumulated. He flipped around Bitcoin from conditional exit to half-size re-entry, while MSTR stayed short-biased and Brent moved from closed winner to possible re-entry on signal. Dollar conviction became more flexible late week: he repeatedly framed USD/DXY as the key tell, then flagged possible bull-trap risk while still treating dollar strength as pressure on metals and crypto.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | RR.L | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.30 | Speechless reaction to Rolls-Royce chart implies positive surprise but lacks detail. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | · | @Kacper_PK_CH | · | Author says owning gold and real assets is likely a good idea. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | DKK | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.00 | Money supply closeness cited as basis for Denmark/EUR peg view. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | EUR | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.00 | Money supply closeness cited as basis for Denmark/EUR peg view. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | URNJ | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.45 | Long-term uranium price at $95.50/lb, over $10 above spot, with coiled spring framing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | CCJ | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.15 | Long-term uranium price at $95.50/lb, over $10 above spot, with coiled spring framing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | URNM | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.45 | Long-term uranium price at $95.50/lb, over $10 above spot, with coiled spring framing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | FDY.TO | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.00 | Ticker-only chart/share reference with no stance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Kacper_PK_CH | · | Philosophical pro-gold macro framing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Kacper_PK_CH | · | Compares labor force participation rates across countries. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CCJ | @Kacper_PK_CH | -0.20 | Uranium watchlist; no longs until 20-day uptrend is established. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NXE | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.10 | Uranium watchlist; no longs until 20-day uptrend is established. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | URNM | @Kacper_PK_CH | -0.20 | Uranium watchlist; no longs until 20-day uptrend is established. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PDN.TO | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.10 | Uranium watchlist; no longs until 20-day uptrend is established. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MGA.TO | @Kacper_PK_CH | +0.10 | Uranium watchlist; no longs until 20-day uptrend is established. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.