@KairosPraxis KairosPraxis
Deep bottom-up AI-supply-chain analyst hunting obscure global optics/substrate/defense small-caps
Publishes original, multi-factor fundamental theses and cond
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.01% mean alpha, trader score -0.02. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.8% since posting (mean over 28 mentions with price data).
Author is most concentrated on AT&S as a cheap AI supply-chain and capacity-expansion beneficiary, with repeated positive news updates on guidance, financing and insider buying. Secondary focus is optical interconnect demand and pump-laser shortages across CIEN, CSCO, COHR, LITE and SMOP, plus selective AI/software infrastructure takes in SMTC, RBRK and GOOGL. The window is mostly constructive, with skepticism reserved for GOOGL AI exposure and ZOMD.V execution promises.
Conviction is concentrated in ATS-related AI supply-chain exposure, with multiple positive catalysts around guidance, capacity expansion, financing and insider buying. The author is broadly constructive on optical bottlenecks and selective AI infrastructure, while bearish or skeptical on GOOGL AI pressure and ZOMD.V management execution. There are no clear position disclosures, and only one directional call, on CLS as still attractive at 400-500CAD.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | LPTH | @KairosPraxis | +0.35 | Cites CEO comments on Lightpath synthetic Germanium improving IR camera efficiency. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @KairosPraxis | · | Bearish on AI overcoming context barrier, bullish on human employment. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @KairosPraxis | +0.00 | Reports Amazon moving away from externally developed chips and asks where hyperscalers cut costs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMZN | @KairosPraxis | +0.20 | Reports Amazon moving away from externally developed chips and asks where hyperscalers cut costs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @KairosPraxis | +0.00 | Reports Amazon moving away from externally developed chips and asks where hyperscalers cut costs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GOOGL | @KairosPraxis | +0.00 | Reports Amazon moving away from externally developed chips and asks where hyperscalers cut costs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | TVK | @KairosPraxis | +0.30 | Author lists bullish but lower-conviction stocks and reasons each fell short of top picks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | RBRK | @KairosPraxis | +0.15 | Author lists bullish but lower-conviction stocks and reasons each fell short of top picks. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MDA.TO | @KairosPraxis | +0.20 | Author lists bullish but lower-conviction stocks and reasons each fell short of top picks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | PNG.V | @KairosPraxis | +0.25 | Author lists bullish but lower-conviction stocks and reasons each fell short of top picks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | LASR | @KairosPraxis | +0.30 | Author lists bullish but lower-conviction stocks and reasons each fell short of top picks. | -5.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SMTC | @KairosPraxis | +0.35 | Author lists bullish but lower-conviction stocks and reasons each fell short of top picks. | -8.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | LITE | @KairosPraxis | +0.75 | Author lists highest conviction owned positions with 3-5 year thesis for each. | -9.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | ATS | @KairosPraxis | +0.70 | Author lists highest conviction owned positions with 3-5 year thesis for each. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CYBT.CN | @KairosPraxis | +0.65 | Author lists highest conviction owned positions with 3-5 year thesis for each. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.