Author
@Kalshi Kalshi
Official Kalshi account relaying its prediction-market odds and breaking financial headlines
Publishes real-time prediction-market probabilities from Kal
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
541
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.7% since posting (mean over 132 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports Japan's three largest banks completing an international stablecoin payment test. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Goldman survey shows retirement readiness falling to 58% from 68%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Kalshi | +0.20 | Reports Sam Altman's positive reaction to Tesla's new Roadster. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Kalshi | +0.15 | Reports President Trump's positive reaction to Elon Musk after the Roadster event. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports US oil rising above $100 per barrel. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports firms increasingly passing rising costs to customers, implying persistent inflation pressure. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports restored health coverage for some 760,000 Obamacare enrollees. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Kalshi | +0.20 | Prediction market assigns a 60% chance to a Tesla-SpaceX merger within one year. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports September US retail sales rising 0.8% to $745 billion, largely due to gasoline prices. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports a judge declining to block a federal order targeting contractor DEI programs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports US sanctions being lifted on Venezuela's National Assembly head. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | AAPL | @Kalshi | +0.50 | Reports Apple's iPhone Duo selling out minutes after preorders opened. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | BOJ says another interest-rate increase is inevitable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @Kalshi | +0.35 | Reports Germany will announce an industrial AI deal with Nvidia next week. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Kalshi | · | Fed Chair describes AI as the most consequential economic change of his lifetime. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.