Author
@Kalshi Kalshi
Official Kalshi account relaying its prediction-market odds and breaking financial headlines
Publishes real-time prediction-market probabilities from Kal
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
268
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 98 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports that US oil reserves were doubled. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPX | @Kalshi | +0.00 | Reports the S&P 500's lowest weekly volume in more than 20 years. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports Iran's claim of full control over the Strait of Hormuz. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports a US agreement covering 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan oil. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | @Kalshi | +0.20 | Reports Nvidia owns a $20 billion stake in private SpaceX. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | TSLA | @Kalshi | +0.30 | Reports Musk calling Tesla's Cybertruck the best robot available. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | AAPL | @Kalshi | -0.20 | Reports Tim Cook will step down as Apple CEO on August 31. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | @Kalshi | -0.05 | Reports a magazine's exclusion of Jensen Huang from an AI influence list. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NFLX | @Kalshi | +0.45 | Reports Netflix viewership increased 50% due to GTA 6. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports a 53% prediction-market chance of a Fed hike next month. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NFLX | @Kalshi | +0.25 | Reports GTA 6 ranks first globally on Netflix. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | @Kalshi | +0.25 | Reports Musk praising Nvidia's revenue performance. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports a 70% prediction-market chance of a Fed hike this year. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports Fed Chair Warsh saying inflation is not slowing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Kalshi | · | Reports a Fed member calling for rate hikes. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.