Author

@kalshi_finance

trader score
-0.65
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.79%
signals 14d
124

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.79% mean alpha, trader score -0.65. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.2% since posting (mean over 54 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Trump purchased up to $1.4B worth of stocks in 2025, without named tickers.·
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports South Korean market halted program selling as KOSPI plunged over 6%.·
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Trump made over 21,000 trades across eight accounts in 2025, averaging 80 trades a day.·
2026-07-01MU@Kalshi_Finance-0.60Reports MU plunged more than 10% today despite Trump's support.-5.5%
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports U.S. AI capex projected to hit 3% of GDP.·
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Trump declines to renew the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement.·
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Boston Dynamics CEO says robots will build America's next 250 years.·
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports 7 of 10 major market peak indicators have been reached.·
2026-07-01META@Kalshi_Finance+0.60Reports META added $150B in market cap after announcing Meta Compute.-4.9%
2026-07-01MSTR@Kalshi_Finance+0.55Reports MSTR stock rose over 10% today.+7.9%
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Kevin Warsh says inflation risks have come down.·
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Trump says he is personally profiting from the stock market rally.·
2026-07-01META@Kalshi_Finance+0.60Reports META stock is up over 10% today after recent news.-4.9%
2026-07-01·@Kalshi_Finance·US PMI came in at 53.3, below expectations of 54.·
2026-07-01META@Kalshi_Finance+0.35Reports META is building a cloud business to sell excess AI compute power.-4.9%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.