Author

@kalshi_finance

trader score
-1.98
hit rate
25%
mean α
-2.18%
signals 14d
291

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -2.18% mean alpha, trader score -1.98. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.5% since posting (mean over 152 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Jim Cramer's characterization of the selloff as one of the year's worst days.·
2026-10-16TSM@Kalshi_Finance+0.30Reports a planned $4B AI complex in Texas serving Nvidia and TSMC.+1.4%
2026-10-16NVDA@Kalshi_Finance+0.30Reports a planned $4B AI complex in Texas serving Nvidia and TSMC.-1.5%
2026-10-16MSTR@Kalshi_Finance+0.40Cantor Fitzgerald raises its MSTR price target to $208.+6.7%
2026-10-16CRWV@Kalshi_Finance+0.55Reports Cantor Fitzgerald's view that CoreWeave presents a major buying opportunity.-11.7%
2026-10-16·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports that the stock-market Fear & Greed Index entered extreme fear.·
2026-10-16·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports G7 preparations for a major AI-driven cyberattack targeting banks.·
2026-10-16AAPL@Kalshi_Finance+0.45Reports Apple's new iPhone Duo selling out within minutes of pre-orders opening.+1.2%
2026-10-16·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Fed official Kevin Warsh warning that the AI boom is increasing price pressures.·
2026-10-16CRWV@Kalshi_Finance-0.70Deutsche Bank says CoreWeave needs more capital given $45B capex against $10B cash flow.-11.7%
2026-10-16·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Kevin Warsh warning that AI may create significant economic change and job uncertainty.·
2026-10-16CRWV@Kalshi_Finance-0.20Reports CoreWeave founders cashing out $3.3B before the stock's meltdown.-11.7%
2026-10-16TSLA@Kalshi_Finance+0.55Reports TSLA rising 5% following the Roadster unveiling.+4.9%
2026-10-16·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Kevin Warsh refusing to rule out another October rate increase.·
2026-10-15TSLA@Kalshi_Finance+0.05Reports Tesla requiring a $50,000 deposit to reserve its new Roadster.+2.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.