Author

@kalshi_finance

trader score
-0.84
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.35%
signals 14d
132

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.35% mean alpha, trader score -0.84. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.1% since posting (mean over 49 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-24SPX@Kalshi_Finance+0.15Reports S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures turning positive.·
2026-08-24QQQ@Kalshi_Finance+0.15Reports S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures turning positive.+1.4%
2026-08-24MU@Kalshi_Finance-0.45Reports Micron falling below 900 after hours amid renewed selling.+2.5%
2026-08-24·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports U.S. debt at 100% of GDP and a CBO projection of 120% by 2035.·
2026-08-24META@Kalshi_Finance+0.25Reports Meta's planned consumer AI-agent launch in the coming weeks.+3.4%
2026-08-24·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports that Canada will announce retaliatory U.S. tariffs tomorrow.·
2026-08-24NVDA@Kalshi_Finance+0.15Reports that more than 75% of Nvidia employees are millionaires due to stock gains.+4.4%
2026-08-24·@Kalshi_Finance·Reports Jim Cramer's explicit recommendation to sell semiconductor stocks.·
2026-08-24NVDA@Kalshi_Finance+0.15Reports that roughly half of Nvidia employees are worth more than $25 million.+4.4%
2026-08-24SPCX@Kalshi_Finance+0.25Reports a plan to deploy Nvidia-powered AI compute in orbit.·
2026-08-24NVDA@Kalshi_Finance+0.25Reports a plan to deploy Nvidia-powered AI compute in orbit.+4.4%
2026-08-24BE@Kalshi_Finance+0.35Reports Nancy Pelosi holding more than 15,000 Bloom Energy shares.+3.3%
2026-08-24MRNA@Kalshi_Finance+0.00Relays Moderna's CEO warning that China is rapidly challenging the U.S. in biotechnology.-0.6%
2026-08-24·@Kalshi_Finance·Says earnings growth is outpacing share prices, implying broad valuation upside.·
2026-08-24·@Kalshi_Finance·Quantifies the loss of dollar purchasing power since 1990.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.