Author
@KobeissiLetter KobeissiLetter
Data-dense macro commentator pushing an 'own assets' AI-and-inflation regime thesis
Publishes high-frequency, quantified macro and market-struct
trader score
+1.00
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.54%
signals 14d
214
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.54% mean alpha, trader score +1.00. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 64 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Frames the reported Venezuela oil-control agreement as enormously consequential for global energy. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Reports Trump's announcement of a deal for majority control of 65B+ barrels of Venezuelan crude. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Reports US M2 rose $102.8B in July to a record $23.22T, its 27th consecutive increase. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Links a 50% YTD wheat rally and export disruption to renewed food-inflation risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Sees hawkish policy, deficits, inflation and an energy shock creating a difficult Treasury outlook. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Reports spot gold below $4,500 after Warsh emphasized price stability and calls inflation persistent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPX | @KobeissiLetter | -0.27 | Quantifies historically large 10-year S&P 500 outperformance over US Treasuries. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | CVX | @KobeissiLetter | -0.21 | WSJ reports Chevron, Halliburton and peers are nearing multibillion-dollar Venezuela investments. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | HAL | @KobeissiLetter | -0.21 | WSJ reports Chevron, Halliburton and peers are nearing multibillion-dollar Venezuela investments. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Reports Trump ordered legal documents enabling farmers and ranchers to process their own food. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Energy and technology lead sector performance, with energy up 42.8% year to date. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | TSM | @KobeissiLetter | -0.00 | Quantifies unusually low NVDA correlation with SOX versus highly correlated peers. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SOX | @KobeissiLetter | -0.00 | Quantifies unusually low NVDA correlation with SOX versus highly correlated peers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @KobeissiLetter | -0.00 | Quantifies unusually low NVDA correlation with SOX versus highly correlated peers. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | INTC | @KobeissiLetter | -0.00 | Quantifies unusually low NVDA correlation with SOX versus highly correlated peers. | -2.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.