Author
@KobeissiLetter KobeissiLetter
Data-dense macro commentator pushing an 'own assets' AI-and-inflation regime thesis
Publishes high-frequency, quantified macro and market-struct
trader score
+0.37
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.12%
signals 14d
203
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.12% mean alpha, trader score +0.37. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.8% since posting (mean over 52 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | NDX | @KobeissiLetter | +0.42 | Quantifies Nasdaq 100 losses, erased market cap and correction proximity. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Reports Brent above $112 and US gasoline averaging $4.33. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Quantifies record-scale retail equity and semiconductor purchases. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NDX | @KobeissiLetter | +0.39 | Reports Nasdaq 100 down over 2% amid oil-driven inflation fears. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Recaps a completed oil dip-buy call reaching its $100 target. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Reports US oil reaching its highest level since September 17. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SOXX | @KobeissiLetter | -0.09 | Details unusually large weekly inflows into semiconductor ETFs. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SOXL | @KobeissiLetter | -0.09 | Details unusually large weekly inflows into semiconductor ETFs. | -10.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SMH | @KobeissiLetter | -0.09 | Details unusually large weekly inflows into semiconductor ETFs. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SOX | @KobeissiLetter | +0.39 | Quantifies a historic seven-session semiconductor losing streak. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NDX | @KobeissiLetter | +0.33 | Reports Nasdaq 100 down over 1% and 6% below its recent high. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @KobeissiLetter | +0.12 | Argues only equity weakness has materially lowered Treasury yields. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @KobeissiLetter | +0.09 | Frames extreme index breadth divergence as a bear-bull paradox. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @KobeissiLetter | -0.27 | Reports Tesla's Roadster reveal and the stock's positive reaction. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @KobeissiLetter | · | Links record Asian export growth to AI and semiconductor demand. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.