Author
@KotlinerBTC KotlinerBTC
grade Ax.com/KotlinerBTC ↗
Options-positioning quant who reads IV and skew across AI/semis/crypto names
Publishes daily implied-volatility ranks, put/call skew, and
trader score
+1.70
hit rate
65%
mean α
+0.96%
signals 14d
162
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.96% mean alpha, trader score +1.70. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.8% since posting (mean over 161 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | MSFT | @KotlinerBTC | +0.40 | Views MSFT's volatility signals and high-level consolidation as constructive despite the pullback. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MRVL | @KotlinerBTC | -0.10 | Ranks named tickers by put skew, identifying elevated hedging demand and hot chasing sentiment. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | ASTS | @KotlinerBTC | -0.10 | Ranks named tickers by put skew, identifying elevated hedging demand and hot chasing sentiment. | -2.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CIFR | @KotlinerBTC | -0.15 | Ranks named tickers by put skew, identifying elevated hedging demand and hot chasing sentiment. | -11.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NOK | @KotlinerBTC | -0.15 | Ranks named tickers by put skew, identifying elevated hedging demand and hot chasing sentiment. | -10.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SATS | @KotlinerBTC | -0.10 | Ranks named tickers by put skew, identifying elevated hedging demand and hot chasing sentiment. | +3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MSFT | @KotlinerBTC | -0.15 | Ranks named tickers by put skew, identifying elevated hedging demand and hot chasing sentiment. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NFLX | @KotlinerBTC | +0.00 | Reports IV-rank leaders and laggards with explicit numerical rankings. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | GLD | @KotlinerBTC | +0.00 | Reports IV-rank leaders and laggards with explicit numerical rankings. | -4.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | HYG | @KotlinerBTC | +0.00 | Reports IV-rank leaders and laggards with explicit numerical rankings. | +0.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | IBM | @KotlinerBTC | +0.00 | Reports IV-rank leaders and laggards with explicit numerical rankings. | +9.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | GOOGL | @KotlinerBTC | +0.00 | Reports IV-rank leaders and laggards with explicit numerical rankings. | -6.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | META | @KotlinerBTC | +0.00 | Reports IV-rank leaders and laggards with explicit numerical rankings. | -9.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSLA | @KotlinerBTC | -0.25 | TSLA remains below key resistance; a low below 345.88 would form a bearish double top and impede 385. | +2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | BE | @KotlinerBTC | -0.45 | Recaps a prior bearish BE warning and subsequent decline from roughly 270 to 217. | -18.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.