Author

@KoujiSato19 KoujiSato19

Prolific bullish AI-infrastructure value-chain analyst with per-name targets, Japanese retail lean

Publishes a high volume of fundamental, target-bearing singl

trader score
-0.29
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.08%
signals 14d
88

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.08% mean alpha, trader score -0.29. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.7% since posting (mean over 79 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16TSM@KoujiSato19-0.15Frames strong TSM results against margin dilution, capex, geopolitical, and customer-concentration risks.+1.4%
2026-10-15·@KoujiSato19·Reports Fear & Greed at 32 and notes semiconductor buying after a severe decline.·
2026-10-15LLY@KoujiSato19-0.35Questions LLY's rally, citing margin, litigation, competition, cash-flow, and defensive-rotation risks.+1.7%
2026-10-15·@KoujiSato19·Builds three scenarios for housing stocks after the 10-year yield fell to 5.056%.·
2026-10-15TSM@KoujiSato19+0.60Reports a major Q3 beat, strong Q4 revenue guidance, and raised FY2026 growth outlook for TSM.-0.9%
2026-10-15AAPL@KoujiSato19-0.60Warns of downside risk before earnings from production cuts, a 230 target floor, and a 39x P/E.+1.7%
2026-10-15IBM@KoujiSato19+0.00Presents a bearish ASML framework focused on earnings quality, backlog, margins, China, and AI-capex risks.+8.3%
2026-10-15ASML@KoujiSato19-0.50Presents a bearish ASML framework focused on earnings quality, backlog, margins, China, and AI-capex risks.-5.2%
2026-10-15ASML@KoujiSato19-0.55Calls ASML's 55x P/E, €500M valuation gain, and €9.3B advance payments material risks.-5.2%
2026-10-15ASML@KoujiSato19-0.50Promotes analysis arguing ASML's valuation gain and advance payments conceal significant risks.-5.2%
2026-10-14ASML@KoujiSato19+0.60Reports ASML revenue and EPS beats plus Q4 revenue guidance above consensus.-4.7%
2026-10-14·@KoujiSato19·Reports CPI at 0.6% MoM and 3.7% YoY, with annual inflation above forecast.·
2026-10-14AMD@KoujiSato19+0.55Frames AI interconnect openness and ASIC adoption as favoring AMD while challenging Intel and Nvidia.-9.5%
2026-10-14NVDA@KoujiSato19+0.35Frames AI interconnect openness and ASIC adoption as favoring AMD while challenging Intel and Nvidia.-4.7%
2026-10-14INTC@KoujiSato19-0.45Frames AI interconnect openness and ASIC adoption as favoring AMD while challenging Intel and Nvidia.-11.4%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.