Author
@KrisAbdelmessih KrisAbdelmessih
grade Ax.com/KrisAbdelmessih ↗
Derivatives and volatility quant who prices narratives into falsifiable probability distributions
Writes original options-volatility and portfolio-constructio
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
5
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +4.9% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).
Recent signals5receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @KrisAbdelmessih | +0.00 | Reports Tesla's Cybercab launch in Austin while questioning its actual road presence and availability. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @KrisAbdelmessih | · | Reports a grocery product's price increasing from $29 to $53 over six months. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | TIP | @KrisAbdelmessih | +0.65 | Buying TIPS again as part of a combination trade. — Explicitly states a new purchase of TIPS and promises details on the trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @KrisAbdelmessih | · | Buying some TIPS now. — Explicitly states a current purchase of inflation-protected Treasury securities. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @KrisAbdelmessih | · | Sarcastically questions whether active managers are thriving in a stock-picker's market. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.