Author

@Kunluntalk Kunluntalk

Reasoning-heavy macro-geopolitical commentator on US-China tech and AI-infra fragility

Posts dense macro-framework commentary (largely in quotes/re

trader score
-0.53
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.27%
signals 14d
6

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.27% mean alpha, trader score -0.53.

Recent signals6receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-01·@Kunluntalk·Oil officially broke below $68.50 for first time in 4 months, erasing war premium.·
2026-06-28·@Kunluntalk·Reports Iran launched missile and drone attacks on U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.·
2026-06-24BTC@Kunluntalk+0.35Wait until October 2026 for the entry point in Bitcoin — Says BTC broke below $60K and October 2026 is the only entry point for the next decade.·
2026-06-24·@Kunluntalk·Reports U.S. oil price fell below $70 per barrel for the first time since March.·
2026-06-24BTC@Kunluntalk+0.35Wait until October 2026 for the entry point in Bitcoin — Says BTC broke below $60K and October 2026 is the only entry point for the next decade.·
2026-06-21·@Kunluntalk·Anecdotal observation that US consumer demand remains strong at restaurants.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.