@labubu_trader labubu_trader
Pseudonymous AI/semi swing trader with original supply-chain theses and EMA discipline
Active discretionary trader posting real-time tickered optio
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.70% mean alpha, trader score +0.93. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.0% since posting (mean over 37 mentions with price data).
The author began the window adding semicap, optical, storage and SATS exposure, then cut most risk after SPX broke the 21-day EMA while retaining NVDA and AAPL LEAP calls. Their distinctive read is that AI semi demand fears are false and lower or stable long-end rates favor concentrated AI semi exposure, while optical/NOK momentum deteriorated late week. The clearest shift is from adding semicap and optical exposure early to holding high cash, day-trading only, and waiting for SPX 50-day EMA or a 21-day EMA reclaim.
Conviction flipped from early-week adds in semicap, optical, and SATS into a lower-risk stance after SPX broke the 21-day EMA on June 17. He disclosed selling most positions, keeping NVDA and AAPL LEAP calls, and waiting for either a 21-day EMA reclaim or a higher risk-reward SPX 50-day EMA setup. Concentration risk sits in AI semis and index timing, while optical/NOK commentary weakened late week.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | Planned to buy on Monday opening — Author says they sold at open, did not buy close, and planned to buy Monday open; ticker absent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SNDK | @labubu_trader | +0.35 | Option data shows put-side IV skew at ATH; bounce next week could trigger vanna/charm buying flow. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @labubu_trader | +0.35 | Option data shows put-side IV skew at ATH; bounce next week could trigger vanna/charm buying flow. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SNDK | @labubu_trader | +0.45 | Bought Kioxia and SK Hynix back; hopes MU/SNDK follow — Bought Asian memory names after 50D EMA bounce and wants MU/SNDK similar action Monday. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @labubu_trader | +0.45 | Bought Kioxia and SK Hynix back; hopes MU/SNDK follow — Bought Asian memory names after 50D EMA bounce and wants MU/SNDK similar action Monday. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPX | @labubu_trader | +0.75 | Says Mag7 capex/revenue setup plus macro could pump SPX to 8000. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | Argues AI capex pressures stocks short term but is needed to avoid losing the AI race. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | Dismisses AI capex slowdown concerns and says semis are crowded. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | Warns semis become untouchable if MAG7 AI capex slowdown is confirmed. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SOX | @labubu_trader | +0.00 | Identifies SOX as the relevant semiconductor index. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | will add all storage back — Forward intent to add storage exposure, but no specific ticker named. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | Bullish on AI/semi trend returning after MAG7 earnings if capex does not slow. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @labubu_trader | · | Cautious market timing comment that bottoms do not happen on Friday. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SOX | @labubu_trader | +0.15 | Watching whether SOX can bottom at 50D EMA next Monday. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | QQQ | @labubu_trader | -0.30 | Reports past sale after QQQ broke down below 728.23 intraday level. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.