Author · brief 2026-06-22

@lisaabramowicz1 lisaabramowicz1

Bloomberg macro/credit journalist curating institutional data into rates-and-AI regime narratives

Relays and synthesizes high-signal macro data points and sel

trader score
+0.49
hit rate
67%
mean α
+0.59%
signals 14d
13

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 9 scored bets: 67% hit rate, +0.59% mean alpha, trader score +0.49. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.7% since posting (mean over 6 mentions with price data).

SpaceX valuation scrutiny meets hawkish curve repricing

This author is not expressing trade calls or disclosed positions; the window is mostly macro and valuation-context reporting. The distinctive read is skepticism around SpaceX-scale private-market valuation while also flagging hawkish Fed repricing, curve compression, and tight oil inventories. No clear late-week position flip is present, but the final item surfaces Deutsche Bank moving to a 50bp hike forecast later this year.

Themes3analyst read · 2026-06-22
SpaceX private-market valuation stretch
mixedNEW5 signals
⚠ 60% of theme signals are SPCX — flag pump risk
Fed hawkishness and yield-curve compression
neutralNEW4 signals
Crude inventory tightness
bullconsistent1 signals
⚠ 100% of theme signals are OIL — flag pump risk
Direction this week

The author is concentrated on SpaceX valuation context and macro rate repricing, with no explicit directional trades or position disclosures. The only ticker-specific tilt is mixed on SPCX: valuation skepticism alongside acknowledgment of a large rally versus megacap benchmarks. Macro coverage late in the window centers on hawkish Fed implications, curve compression, and tight crude inventories.

Recent signals13receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-06-29·@lisaabramowicz1·Equal-weight S&P outperformed market-cap index by most since 2020 amid rotation from tech.·
2026-06-28AMZN@lisaabramowicz1+0.15AI capacity constraints and AWS AI workload rental price hikes amplify search for cheaper capacity.+4.3%
2026-06-28META@lisaabramowicz1-0.25AI capacity constraints and AWS AI workload rental price hikes amplify search for cheaper capacity.+5.9%
2026-06-26·@lisaabramowicz1·SpaceX bonds lost about $305M of market value relative to Treasuries after $25B sale.·
2026-06-25·@lisaabramowicz1·Cites estimate that AI build-out spending through 2032 could reach $8T.·
2026-06-25ORCL@lisaabramowicz1-0.60Reports large monthly losses for major AI-linked shares while equal-weight S&P is up.-8.0%
2026-06-25GOOGL@lisaabramowicz1-0.25Reports large monthly losses for major AI-linked shares while equal-weight S&P is up.+4.7%
2026-06-25MSFT@lisaabramowicz1-0.45Reports large monthly losses for major AI-linked shares while equal-weight S&P is up.+10.7%
2026-06-25META@lisaabramowicz1-0.35Reports large monthly losses for major AI-linked shares while equal-weight S&P is up.+7.4%
2026-06-23000660.KS@lisaabramowicz1-0.30Report says SK Hynix is slowing AI memory expansion; shares fell 13%.·
2026-06-23·@lisaabramowicz1·Investor concern that LLM pricing pressure may reduce hyperscaler profits.·
2026-06-22·@lisaabramowicz1·Oil-Treasury yield correlation is breaking down; US 2-year yields highest since Feb 2025.·
2026-06-19·@lisaabramowicz1·Deutsche Bank changed Fed forecast to 50bp of rate hikes later this year.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.