Author
@LogicalThesis LogicalThesis
grade Ax.com/LogicalThesis ↗
Rigorous bottom-up small-cap healthcare/AI thesis builder with disciplined position sizing
Develops and tickers high-conviction fundamental long theses
trader score
-1.21
hit rate
40%
mean α
-1.24%
signals 14d
220
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.24% mean alpha, trader score -1.21. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.6% since posting (mean over 81 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Discloses buying healthcare and biotech with a defensive and M&A thesis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | ZURA | @LogicalThesis | -0.25 | Says ZURA's decline reflects broad biotechnology weakness rather than company-specific news. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Expects less market support following major institutional degrossing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Argues the AI investment story is beginning a fundamental, likely persistent rollover. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Plans to retain existing long positions because of relative strength and tax costs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Discloses increased percentage long exposure after withdrawing half the account. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Predicts housing stress as payments rise, inventory grows and price cuts spread. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Says a rate hike is no longer among the market's leading concerns. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Expects borrowers to front-run 2027 maturities on variable or interest-only loans. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @LogicalThesis | -0.75 | SPY forms a bearish engulfing candle and breaks below its 50-day moving average. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Warns indiscriminate fund degrossing can overwhelm fundamentals after a multiyear rally. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Discloses that existing long positions have become oversized. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Reports long allocation rising from 28% to 52% after reducing portfolio cash. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Discloses being net long while withdrawing 45% of the portfolio because of market risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @LogicalThesis | · | Emphasizes capital preservation and avoiding losses before pursuing gains. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.