@lwsresearch lwsresearch
Global energy and commodities newsflow desk mapping macro drivers to listed names
Curates and contextualizes a high-volume, internationally-so
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.23% mean alpha, trader score +0.51. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.4% since posting (mean over 81 mentions with price data).
lwsresearch is mainly tracking energy and commodity dislocations around the U.S.-Iran framework, with oil risk premium fading but some banks still flagging tight Hormuz logistics. The most constructive single-name focus is on LatAm energy and petrochemical catalysts, including Braskem, Petrobras, YPF, Exxon, Repsol and COP. There are no explicit trade calls or position disclosures in the payload, so conviction is inferred from repeated coverage rather than disclosed adds or exits.
The author’s window is dominated by energy macro, especially U.S.-Iran/Hormuz headlines driving oil risk premium lower while select bank commentary still warns normalization could take time. Single-name attention is constructive around LatAm energy, petrochemicals, LNG, copper and critical minerals, with no explicit CALL_DIRECTIONAL trades or POSITION_DISCLOSURE adds, trims or exits. Concentration risk is thematic rather than ticker-specific, with repeated posts on oil benchmarks and Exxon-linked developments.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | XOM | @lwsresearch | +0.45 | Analysts expect strongest quarterly profits since 2022 for Exxon and Chevron. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | CVX | @lwsresearch | +0.45 | Analysts expect strongest quarterly profits since 2022 for Exxon and Chevron. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | · | @lwsresearch | · | Oil edged higher as traders covered shorts and secured supplies before holiday. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | PLX | @lwsresearch | +0.25 | Pluxee maintained FY2026 guidance after broadly in-line Q3; stock up 5.67%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | BKR | @lwsresearch | +0.25 | Baker Hughes reports US rig count rose by 7 to 580, highest since May 2025. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DNN | @lwsresearch | +0.55 | PBCN withdrew judicial review and granted support for Denison's Wheeler River project. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CGEO | @lwsresearch | +0.35 | Reports Georgia Capital up 42.15% YTD and promotes related coverage. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BGEO | @lwsresearch | +0.00 | Reports Georgia Capital up 42.15% YTD and promotes related coverage. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TBCG | @lwsresearch | +0.00 | Reports Georgia Capital up 42.15% YTD and promotes related coverage. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | KKR | @lwsresearch | +0.10 | A.P. Moller Holding agreed to acquire Ocean Yield from KKR-managed funds. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | 8058 | @lwsresearch | +0.10 | India steel growth supports coking coal demand but Queensland royalties deter BHP investment. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BHP | @lwsresearch | +0.20 | India steel growth supports coking coal demand but Queensland royalties deter BHP investment. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | BHP | @lwsresearch | +0.25 | BHP applied to restart Cerro Colorado mine for 20 years backed by $1.5B investment. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @lwsresearch | · | Oil prices fell on easing Middle East supply concerns and U.S.-Iran talks progress. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | LNG | @lwsresearch | +0.10 | U.S. LNG exports shifted from Europe to Asia/Egypt due to pricing spreads and demand. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.