Author
@ManchesterUtd81 ManchesterUtd81
grade Ax.com/ManchesterUtd81 ↗
Anon energy-refining specialist threading mechanistic oil value-chain analysis with a higher-rates macro view
Posts original, reasoning-heavy threads and replies analyzin
trader score
-0.24
hit rate
60%
mean α
-0.27%
signals 14d
8
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 10 scored bets: 60% hit rate, -0.27% mean alpha, trader score -0.24. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.6% since posting (mean over 1 mentions with price data).
Recent signals8receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | XOM | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.55 | Will buy XOM shares from confused sellers in a week or two. — Author says they will buy XOM after boomers sell due to confusion over change. | +0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Thematic AI-porn adoption view but no public ticker named. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-24 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Bearish opinion on WTI/shale oil demand and refinery fit. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Comments on AI agents working together in trading-related chat rooms. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | SPCX | @ManchesterUtd81 | -0.55 | Says bearish calls on SPCX were dismissed but are now being taken seriously. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-21 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Podcast summary suggests forward returns may be better outside tech as AI becomes table stakes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-21 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Bullish oil-risk stance: winners are betting Hormuz stays closed or traffic stays minimal. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-21 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Expects Gulf Coast rain to cause reported operational impacts for oil/refining. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.