Author
@ManchesterUtd81 ManchesterUtd81
grade Ax.com/ManchesterUtd81 ↗
Anon energy-refining specialist threading mechanistic oil value-chain analysis with a higher-rates macro view
Posts original, reasoning-heavy threads and replies analyzin
trader score
-0.82
hit rate
38%
mean α
-0.40%
signals 14d
8
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 8 scored bets: 38% hit rate, -0.40% mean alpha, trader score -0.82. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.0% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).
Recent signals8receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | CLX | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.35 | Expects consumer-product companies to raise prices until profitability recovers. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | WHR | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.35 | Expects consumer-product companies to raise prices until profitability recovers. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CAG | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.35 | Expects consumer-product companies to raise prices until profitability recovers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | KHC | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.35 | Expects consumer-product companies to raise prices until profitability recovers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | GIS | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.35 | Expects consumer-product companies to raise prices until profitability recovers. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | KMB | @ManchesterUtd81 | +0.35 | Expects consumer-product companies to raise prices until profitability recovers. | +4.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Argues drone warfare raises scarcity value for refineries, food plants and other real assets. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @ManchesterUtd81 | · | Expresses confidence that contrarian value investors will eventually be vindicated. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.