Author
@MarioNawfal MarioNawfal
grade Cx.com/MarioNawfal ↗
High-volume geopolitical news aggregator with a perma-bearish decline-of-the-West frame
Rapidly quote-tweets and reframes breaking geopolitical, ene
trader score
-0.06
hit rate
60%
mean α
-0.02%
signals 14d
185
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, -0.02% mean alpha, trader score -0.06. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.5% since posting (mean over 27 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Iran's president said sanctions cut trade 25%-35%, raised costs and reduced exports and imports. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Trump announced a deal granting majority US control over more than 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan reserves. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Unconfirmed reports described an attempted Hormuz ship strike as Iran declared transit coordination mandatory. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Bloomberg reported talks for a possible 100-year lease covering as many as 17 Venezuelan oil fields. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Reports Venezuela considering leaving OPEC, potentially increasing production and triggering an oil price war. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Argues Pakistan's refusal to follow sanctions substantially weakens the U.S. economic campaign against Iran. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Reports Israel adding 400 billion to its decade defense budget to expand ammunition and weapons industries. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Argues an economic blockade will not force Iran to surrender and may instead provoke escalation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Reports U.S. confidence that the Strait of Hormuz is open, implying reduced oil-supply disruption risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Reports Strait of Hormuz tanker traffic falling from 17 to 7 and remaining effectively closed. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Reports CENTCOM's claim that Hormuz traffic lanes were cleared and reopened, while noting conflicting mine estimates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Argues freezing Russian reserves permanently accelerated gold demand and alternative BRICS settlement systems. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Criticizes replacing cheap long-term government debt with short-term bills that continually reprice at current rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Reports a possible US arrangement reserving Venezuelan oil fields for American producers, while noting it is unsigned. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @MarioNawfal | · | Describes Iran's economy as grim amid reduced Hormuz traffic, shortages, inflation, and tighter sanctions. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.