Author

@MarketMike MarketMike

Vol-structure and positioning analyst flagging stretched tape via specific options metrics

Posts real-time, chart-backed reads on implied volatility, e

trader score
-0.21
hit rate
33%
mean α
-0.19%
signals 14d
10

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 9 scored bets: 33% hit rate, -0.19% mean alpha, trader score -0.21. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.2% since posting (mean over 3 mentions with price data).

Recent signals10receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@MarketMike·Observes that NAAIM exposure below 15 has historically signaled a time to become more aggressive.·
2026-08-27SPX@MarketMike-0.45NAAIM exposure at 102.66 signals leveraged bullishness that historically preceded turning points.·
2026-08-27SPY@MarketMike+0.00SPY reached the upper bound of its daily options-implied move.-0.2%
2026-08-25QQQ@MarketMike-0.20QQQ is on an eight-day streak of closing below its open, with historical comparisons cited.+0.8%
2026-08-25TSCO@MarketMike+0.35TSCO broke out of a three-month base and is now consolidating after the move.·
2026-08-22SPX@MarketMike-0.40TRIN 10-period average nears a zone historically followed by SPX weakness or consolidation.·
2026-08-21SPY@MarketMike+0.00References SPY trading around its weekly expected move.+0.5%
2026-08-15SPX@MarketMike-0.35Negative SPX-housing correlation is cited as a historical precursor to near-term market volatility.·
2026-08-15HGX@MarketMike+0.00Negative SPX-housing correlation is cited as a historical precursor to near-term market volatility.·
2026-08-14VIX@MarketMike+0.35Shows prior VIX/COR3M correlation breaks preceded higher VIX and asks whether the pattern will repeat.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.