Author
@markgurman markgurman
grade Ax.com/markgurman ↗
Bloomberg's Apple insider breaking the AAPL product and org roadmap before launch
Reports original, primary-sourced scoops on Apple's product
trader score
-0.70
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.14%
signals 14d
58
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.14% mean alpha, trader score -0.70. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.5% since posting (mean over 54 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | AAPL | @markgurman | -0.25 | Mockingly criticizes the short lifecycle implied between iPhone Duo generations. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | AAPL | @markgurman | -0.25 | Warns that unclear day-one store availability could leave Apple customers unhappy. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | AAPL | @markgurman | -0.45 | Claims Apple launched iPhone Duo prematurely despite inadequate supply until at least November. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.10 | Lists scheduled launch dates for multiple forthcoming Apple products. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.10 | Reports Apple retail product resets tied to new Mac and iPad introductions. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AMZN | @markgurman | +0.20 | Reports Amazon's launch of two AI wearables following its Bee acquisition. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.20 | Praises Apple for an unspecified action and for allowing tough questioning. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.05 | Gives expected beta and public-release timing for iOS 27.3. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.10 | Previews details on Apple's smart-home products and upcoming touchscreen Mac and OLED iPad mini. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.20 | Reports Apple's media invitations for an Oct. 28 launch covering touchscreen MacBooks, iPad mini, and M6 Macs. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.15 | Expects updated Apple Intelligence to reach China eventually but is pessimistic about Siri AI timing. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.35 | Reports Apple preparing a December launch of its first Apple Intelligence features in China. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.70 | Expects Apple's cohesive smart-home strategy and $299 HomeView to succeed. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AAPL | @markgurman | -0.10 | Views two product prices as reasonable but calls the $299 Apple TV a major stretch. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AAPL | @markgurman | +0.10 | Reports preorder and release timing for Apple's newly announced home products. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.