trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
48
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.9% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Discusses AI safety talent dynamics and Anthropic's effects on capabilities. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Constructive but qualified view on Anthropic safety reputation and hiring flywheel. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Framework on AI safety demand-side vs supply-side race-to-top dynamics. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Cautious take on AI safety progress versus desired standards. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Positive framing of AI safety analysis focusing on jailbreaks and CBRN risks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Constructive on Anthropic publishing CAISI-related info and industry-standard work. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Speculates on public AI safety framework and evaluations after CAISI involvement. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Cautions that public AI safety framework and evaluations are still needed. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Skeptical joke about Anthropic agreement details around Fable access. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Claims AI public salience will limit returns from crypto-like dynamics. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Framework that AI safety groups can avoid being massively outspent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Discusses ASI timing uncertainty and release valves for AI policy. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Constructive comment that AI can compare policy proposals despite fallibility. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Framework on mandatory AI audits being multidimensional. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @Miles_Brundage | · | Policy scenario about state and federal AI regulation timing. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.