Author

@miles_brundage

trader score
-0.60
hit rate
50%
mean α
-1.18%
signals 14d
37

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 6 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -1.18% mean alpha, trader score -0.60. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +14.1% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15·@Miles_Brundage·Says existing evidence already warrants more urgent action, but the linked subject is unavailable.·
2026-10-13·@Miles_Brundage·Frames new AI labs as a key unresolved issue for safety policy, thresholds and industry pacing.·
2026-10-13META@Miles_Brundage-0.15Author criticizes Meta AI's API for lacking adequate spending-protection features.-15.7%
2026-10-13·@Miles_Brundage·Reports anomalous behavior in how the Argon model separates chain-of-thought from non-chain-of-thought output.·
2026-10-12META@Miles_Brundage-0.15Reports deployment timeouts in Meta Code and plans to retry later.-13.5%
2026-10-12META@Miles_Brundage-0.10Suspects Meta's Wonder Full rollout remains incomplete across surfaces.-13.5%
2026-10-12META@Miles_Brundage-0.15Criticizes limited transparency into model use for Meta's paid AI offering.-13.5%
2026-10-09·@Miles_Brundage·Reports smooth cross-application collaboration between two AI agents using shared tools and files.·
2026-10-09·@Miles_Brundage·Argues interoperable cooperation among competing AI systems is underused while noting coordination risks.·
2026-10-09·@Miles_Brundage·Criticizes all frontier AI companies for lacking a plan for safe self-improvement.·
2026-10-08·@Miles_Brundage·Uses a dismissive metaphor to express skepticism toward the AI industry's claims.·
2026-10-08·@Miles_Brundage·Speculates an unidentified party's action supports an IPO and regulatory-capture strategy.·
2026-10-07·@Miles_Brundage·Argues superhuman AI will have implications far beyond business software.·
2026-10-07·@Miles_Brundage·Claims AI timelines are shorter than electoral cycles and superintelligence may precede the next election.·
2026-10-05·@Miles_Brundage·Questions whether weak model results reflect intentional restrictions or unusually high expectations.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.