Author

@MinervaCap MinervaCap

Transparent AI/semis momentum swing trader posting real-time tickered setups and hedges

Trades US equities and options around technical setups (VWAP

trader score
-0.39
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.23%
signals 14d
130

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.23% mean alpha, trader score -0.39. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.2% since posting (mean over 87 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@MinervaCap·States the author actively tracks Druckenmiller's 13F and discusses his possible long-end short reversal.·
2026-08-28·@MinervaCap·Suggests a 25bp September hike might lower long-term rates and help housing and AI infrastructure.·
2026-08-28IGV@MinervaCap+0.80Added IGV to the long-term account after a high-volume breakout held. — Explicitly reports adding IGV after a cup-and-handle breakout and successful hold.
2026-08-28TLT@MinervaCap+0.80Bought TLT November $85 calls betting against Druckenmiller's long-end short. — Reports a new forward TLT call entry with explicit expiry month, strike and thesis.
2026-08-28CRM@MinervaCap+0.60Bullish thesis cites strong volume, low valuation, positive FCF and improving AI positioning.
2026-08-28FRO@MinervaCap+0.70Author discloses an existing bullish September call position and positively rates earnings.
2026-08-27ESTC@MinervaCap+0.00Daily watchlist names tomorrow's top trade candidates but gives no entries, levels or directional mechanics.+19.3%
2026-08-27SOLS@MinervaCap+0.00Daily watchlist names tomorrow's top trade candidates but gives no entries, levels or directional mechanics.+12.8%
2026-08-27WDAY@MinervaCap+0.00Daily watchlist names tomorrow's top trade candidates but gives no entries, levels or directional mechanics.+5.8%
2026-08-27MESO@MinervaCap+0.00Daily watchlist names tomorrow's top trade candidates but gives no entries, levels or directional mechanics.·
2026-08-27AGYS@MinervaCap+0.00Daily watchlist names tomorrow's top trade candidates but gives no entries, levels or directional mechanics.·
2026-08-27ZETA@MinervaCap+0.00Daily watchlist names tomorrow's top trade candidates but gives no entries, levels or directional mechanics.+1.1%
2026-08-27XLK@MinervaCap+0.45Author reports a solid positive session across several technology and market holdings.-1.5%
2026-08-27AVGO@MinervaCap+0.45Author reports a solid positive session across several technology and market holdings.-0.7%
2026-08-27BUG@MinervaCap+0.45Author reports a solid positive session across several technology and market holdings.-2.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.