Author

@MinervaCap MinervaCap

Transparent AI/semis momentum swing trader posting real-time tickered setups and hedges

Trades US equities and options around technical setups (VWAP

trader score
-1.28
hit rate
45%
mean α
-1.30%
signals 14d
58

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -1.30% mean alpha, trader score -1.28. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.8% since posting (mean over 29 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02XLV@MinervaCap+0.25Lists top gainers on a red day with a closing ramp reducing losses.
2026-07-02XLF@MinervaCap+0.25Lists top gainers on a red day with a closing ramp reducing losses.
2026-07-02V@MinervaCap+0.25Lists top gainers on a red day with a closing ramp reducing losses.
2026-07-02SLDB@MinervaCap+0.25Lists top gainers on a red day with a closing ramp reducing losses.·
2026-07-02WLY@MinervaCap+0.25Lists top gainers on a red day with a closing ramp reducing losses.·
2026-07-02AVAV@MinervaCap+0.25Lists top gainers on a red day with a closing ramp reducing losses.
2026-07-02XLV@MinervaCap-0.20Expresses frustration at XLV move.
2026-07-02FIGR@MinervaCap+0.45Says FIGR continues its upward march and links prior AI notes.
2026-07-02RSP@MinervaCap+0.45Equal-weight S&P 500 at all-time highs; author says this is not bearish.
2026-07-01LEU@MinervaCap+0.00Watchlist for tomorrow without explicit trade intent.-2.5%
2026-07-01APP@MinervaCap+0.00Watchlist for tomorrow without explicit trade intent.-6.7%
2026-07-01PRGS@MinervaCap+0.00Watchlist for tomorrow without explicit trade intent.·
2026-07-01ATLC@MinervaCap+0.00Watchlist for tomorrow without explicit trade intent.·
2026-07-01NGNE@MinervaCap+0.00Watchlist for tomorrow without explicit trade intent.·
2026-07-01AVAV@MinervaCap+0.00Watchlist for tomorrow without explicit trade intent.+10.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.