Author
@mmlionfund mmlionfund
grade Bx.com/mmlionfund ↗
Disciplined bottom-up SaaS/AI fundamental analyst with skeptical capex eye and transparent positions
Posts ticker'd fundamental theses, position disclosures, and
trader score
-1.82
hit rate
40%
mean α
-1.30%
signals 14d
35
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.30% mean alpha, trader score -1.82. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.6% since posting (mean over 23 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | GLXY | @mmlionfund | +0.65 | Argues GLXY is the safer way to express a CRWV rebound thesis because it owns durable infrastructure assets. | -9.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @mmlionfund | -0.70 | Argues GLXY is the safer way to express a CRWV rebound thesis because it owns durable infrastructure assets. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SOXX | @mmlionfund | +0.35 | Reports the semiconductor index delivered a 57% annualized return from ChatGPT's launch to its June 2026 peak. | -3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @mmlionfund | · | Applies Gerstner's AI-lab revenue framework to favor a 15% Nasdaq-100 year-end gain. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | @mmlionfund | +0.35 | Reports TSM management directly verified AI demand and reiterated $60–64B capex guidance. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | BLK | @mmlionfund | +0.00 | Relays BlackRock's view that deficits and AI capex will keep long-term yields elevated despite Fed cuts. | +4.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @mmlionfund | -0.45 | Reports Altimeter increased its CRWV stake 35% in Q2 and has since lost about $204M. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @mmlionfund | · | Warns $573B of AI financing contains correlated, overlapping exposure to heavily loss-making borrowers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | NVDA | @mmlionfund | +0.55 | Says Nvidia is preferable to going long Cerebras due to business uncertainty. | -7.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | NU | @mmlionfund | +0.75 | Argues Nu's low service cost and AI opportunity support a long growth runway. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @mmlionfund | · | Uses Klarman's letter to caution against momentum-driven speculative instincts. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | JPM | @mmlionfund | -0.20 | Reports JPM buybacks down 87% and argues repurchases offer little value at current book multiples. | +0.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | CBRS | @mmlionfund | -0.55 | CBRS is about 60% below its peak and trades below its $185 IPO price. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | CRM | @mmlionfund | +0.40 | BofA double-upgraded CRM while Wells Fargo double-downgraded ADBE. | +6.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | ADBE | @mmlionfund | -0.40 | BofA double-upgraded CRM while Wells Fargo double-downgraded ADBE. | +10.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.