Author
@MonacoMacro MonacoMacro
grade Bx.com/MonacoMacro ↗
AI-infrastructure supply-chain analyst who follows compute, power, and capex mechanics
Writes long-form bull/bear frameworks on the AI buildout, tr
trader score
-1.44
hit rate
35%
mean α
-0.87%
signals 14d
13
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.87% mean alpha, trader score -1.44. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.8% since posting (mean over 5 mentions with price data).
Recent signals13receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | · | @MonacoMacro | · | Argues semiconductor underinvestment causes current shortages but delayed capacity can create future gluts. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @MonacoMacro | · | Frames capital availability, after cash flow and financing channels, as the ultimate AI-buildout constraint. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @MonacoMacro | · | Explains how weaponizing supply chokepoints incentivizes diversification and substitute capacity. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @MonacoMacro | · | Explains Treasury buybacks as liquidity management and warns deficits shift risk toward refinancing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | BTC | @MonacoMacro | -0.10 | Notes Bitcoin approaching the top of its range with resistance overhead. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | USDMXN | @MonacoMacro | +0.05 | Reports USDMXN hovering just above long-term support. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | NVDA | @MonacoMacro | -0.45 | Argues Nvidia's financing and guarantees function as hidden price concessions and transfer customer risk onto Nvidia. | -1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | · | @MonacoMacro | · | Argues open-source AI still carries substantial inference costs across chips, memory, power and networking. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | TSM | @MonacoMacro | -0.40 | Argues TSMC scarcity may push Big Tech toward costlier Intel and Samsung alternatives, creating credible competition. | +1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | INTC | @MonacoMacro | +0.45 | Argues TSMC scarcity may push Big Tech toward costlier Intel and Samsung alternatives, creating credible competition. | -7.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | TSM | @MonacoMacro | -0.30 | Says TSMC protected its returns by limiting capacity but shifted scarcity risk and lost-revenue pressure to customers. | +1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | SPY | @MonacoMacro | +0.55 | Brief enthusiastic expression of support for SPY. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-16 | · | @MonacoMacro | · | Contrasts replicable AI models with four-year memory-fab and seven-year power-plant build times. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.