@negligible_cap negligible_cap
Fast, two-sided AI/tech newsflow synthesizer turning headlines into tickered read-through theses
Curates and editorializes real-time AI/megacap-tech and even
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.03% mean alpha, trader score -1.49. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.3% since posting (mean over 93 mentions with price data).
This author is most active around SpaceX/SPCX proxy dynamics, AI compute infrastructure, and event-driven M&A/news. The distinctive read is mixed: NVDA is framed as the cleaner SpaceX/xAI capex beneficiary, while SPCX itself is treated skeptically on valuation, promotion, and late-week drawdown. They also repeatedly surface AI infrastructure shifts, including custom silicon pressure on NVDA, Microsoft cloud discipline, Oracle security concerns, and Meta compute demand.
Conviction is concentrated in SpaceX/SPCX proxy debate, AI compute infrastructure, and event-driven transaction news, with SPCX dominating the author's attention. The only explicit directional call is long NVDA as the cleaner SpaceX/xAI capex beneficiary, while SPCX commentary turns skeptical around valuation math, promotion intensity, and the later two-day decline. No position disclosures were provided, so adds, trims, or exits cannot be verified from this payload.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @negligible_cap | -0.50 | Reports Michael Burry shorted Micron at $1,051.87 and gained 7%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @negligible_cap | · | Goldman Sachs High Beta Momentum index has worst two-day move since Covid, down almost 19%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @negligible_cap | -0.20 | Reports Tesla caps employee AI spend at $200/week, with negative author reaction. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @negligible_cap | -0.25 | Zuckerberg reportedly says AI agent development has not accelerated as expected. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @negligible_cap | +0.25 | Reports Meta debuting Pocket, a new app for vibe-coded games. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @negligible_cap | · | Momentum being smoked; GS High Beta Momentum Index down over 7% today and over 16% in two days. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | JMKE | @negligible_cap | +0.15 | Jersey Mike's filed for IPO seeking NYSE listing with ticker JMKE. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CRWV | @negligible_cap | +0.00 | Mentions JPM's Schilsky on CRWV and NBIS following Meta news, but stance/details require linked context. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @negligible_cap | +0.00 | Mentions JPM's Schilsky on CRWV and NBIS following Meta news, but stance/details require linked context. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @negligible_cap | +0.00 | Mentions JPM's Schilsky on CRWV and NBIS following Meta news, but stance/details require linked context. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AVGO | @negligible_cap | +0.15 | Anthropic in talks with Samsung for custom AI chip; AVGO mentioned as OpenAI comparator. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | OWL | @negligible_cap | +0.15 | Blue Owl BDCs imposed caps after redemption requests; author says could be worse and OWL is rallying. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @negligible_cap | · | SK Hynix dip could be worth buying ahead of ADR listing. — Author says SK Hynix's 24% five-day drop could be a dip worth buying ahead of July 10 ADR listing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @negligible_cap | · | Korea Exchange activates sidecar to halt KOSDAQ program selling. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CBOE | @negligible_cap | +0.25 | CBOE seeks approval to list binary KPI options on 23 US stocks tied to earnings metrics. | +0.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.