Author
@NickSchmidt NickSchmidt
grade Bx.com/NickSchmidt ↗
Transparent CANSLIM-style momentum trader of AI/semis leaders who preaches regime discipline
Trades leading US growth stocks using technical breakouts/ti
trader score
-2.71
hit rate
20%
mean α
-1.40%
signals 14d
62
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 20% hit rate, -1.40% mean alpha, trader score -2.71. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -8.9% since posting (mean over 24 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Warns that market crashes are preceded by observable warning signs that stubborn investors ignore. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Interprets a chart candle as urgent selling and says the setup looks bad. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Says a mere bounce will not make the market worthy of taking risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Views rotation from growth into restaurants and materials as defensive flight rather than healthy leadership. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | HPE | @NickSchmidt | -0.70 | Calls former leaders' charts broken and says the market pullback is not buyable. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | DELL | @NickSchmidt | -0.70 | Calls former leaders' charts broken and says the market pullback is not buyable. | +1.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Warns that two distribution days make trading conditions harder regardless of direction. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Describes a preference for establishing trend positions and holding them rather than active trading. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SMH | @NickSchmidt | +0.38 | Explores buying an oversold SMH snapback if it reclaims a level, but stops short of a concrete entry. | -5.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Lean toward shorting any multi-day market bounce. — Explicitly states that any multi-day market bounce is likely shortable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Suggests customary capitulation messaging has not appeared and the market may still be well above its bottom. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Discloses being in cash since last week and expects substantially more market pain. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Frames a normal correction as necessary to reset a difficult stock-picking environment and restore market health | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | MU | @NickSchmidt | -0.60 | Warns MU is unlikely to remain above its 30-week average while the rest of the memory group is below it | -4.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @NickSchmidt | · | Argues distribution confirmed market weakness and warns that convincing bounces will fail before risk conditions improve | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.