Author · brief 2026-06-22

@NickSchmidt NickSchmidt

Transparent CANSLIM-style momentum trader of AI/semis leaders who preaches regime discipline

Trades leading US growth stocks using technical breakouts/ti

trader score
+1.75
hit rate
65%
mean α
+0.61%
signals 14d
43

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.61% mean alpha, trader score +1.75. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.0% since posting (mean over 29 mentions with price data).

Constructive semi tape with selective chart-led bullish calls

NickSchmidt is broadly constructive on semis, infrastructure, and selected technical setups, with explicit bullish tilts toward SMH and INTC and positive chart attention on SNDK, DELL, and DDOG. His distinctive read is that strong fundamentals and resilient tape make selling difficult even after large moves, though he gives little explicit trade execution detail. No clear late-week flip appears; the week ends with a fresh bullish INTC opinion.

Themes3analyst read · 2026-06-22
Semis and infrastructure repricing after large moves
bullintensifying5 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are SMH — flag pump risk
Chart-based setups in tech leaders
bullintensifying5 signals
⚠ 40% of theme signals are SMH — flag pump risk
Constructive market tape and ownership discipline
bullconsistent4 signals
⚠ 50% of theme signals are SMH — flag pump risk
Direction this week

The author stays constructively biased across semis, infrastructure, and technical setups, with no explicit adds, trims, exits, or position sizing disclosed. There is no clear evidence of fading or flipping; the strongest late-week development is a new explicit bullish INTC opinion. Concentration is thematic rather than single-name, and several claims are chart or sentiment based rather than trade-mechanics based.

Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
DOCN is a market leadership stock breaking out from tight bases and new highs with persistent relative strength.
bullHIGH11 co-supporters
LSCC screens as a quality growth stock, with accelerating sales and expectations for strong revenue and EPS compounding.
bullLOW1 co-supporters
After the violent selloff, disciplined investors should trim, wait for levels, or buy only on deeper pullbacks.
neutralHIGH6 co-supporters
DOCN offers actionable add points on pullbacks, bases, EMA support, or red-to-green reversals.
bullMEDIUM7 co-supporters
ADA is viewed by skeptics as poor-quality crypto exposure or exit liquidity relative to stronger assets.
bearMEDIUM7 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02MU@NickSchmidt+0.10Discusses closing a MU trade and not trying to call tops.
2026-07-02·@NickSchmidt·Says semi boy summer is canceled, bearish sector tone.·
2026-07-02·@NickSchmidt·Trading psychology framework about exiting winners and avoiding drawdowns.·
2026-07-02MU@NickSchmidt+0.10Closed MU trade for +155% over 2.5 months and moved to cash.
2026-07-01HUT@NickSchmidt-0.30Author reports stopped/lost on HUT and stepping away; completed trade recap, not forward call.-8.2%
2026-06-30TSLA@NickSchmidt+0.25Mentions Burry short TSLA and author going long TSLA, but sideways result.-6.5%
2026-06-30·@NickSchmidt·Rejects crash articles and argues people miss life-changing uptrends.·
2026-06-30SNDK@NickSchmidt+0.55Discloses suffering in MU and being in memory leader SNDK now.-23.3%
2026-06-30MU@NickSchmidt-0.25Discloses suffering in MU and being in memory leader SNDK now.-15.5%
2026-06-30TSLA@NickSchmidt+0.50Says it is TSLA time.-6.5%
2026-06-30·@NickSchmidt·Argues traders should focus on market leaders.·
2026-06-30·@NickSchmidt·Bullish on tech leadership in a bull market.·
2026-06-29·@NickSchmidt·Trading-process reflection about expectations and adapting when price invalidates bias.·
2026-06-29HOOD@NickSchmidt-0.35Says X Money now beats Robinhood banking with 3% cash back and 6% APY.+10.7%
2026-06-29TSLA@NickSchmidt+0.65Buy some TSLA with a stop. — Explicitly tells someone to buy TSLA and use a stop.-4.5%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.