Author
@NitherDither NitherDither
grade Ax.com/NitherDither ↗
Forensic skeptic of Bitcoin-treasury-company financial engineering and NAV math
Dissects the capital structure and financing mechanics of Bi
trader score
+0.78
hit rate
83%
mean α
+0.54%
signals 14d
17
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 12 scored bets: 83% hit rate, +0.54% mean alpha, trader score +0.78. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +11.0% since posting (mean over 12 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | · | @NitherDither | · | Explores a return to a conventional inflation-hike-slowdown-correction bond-refuge cycle. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | SPX | @NitherDither | -0.55 | Warns a liquidity air pocket could drive a 200–300 point SPX decline within weeks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | SATS | @NitherDither | -0.80 | Condemns a permanent 15% coupon obligation as a severe drag on the related securities. | +3.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ASST | @NitherDither | -0.55 | Condemns a permanent 15% coupon obligation as a severe drag on the related securities. | +5.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | SATA | @NitherDither | -0.55 | Condemns a permanent 15% coupon obligation as a severe drag on the related securities. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | STRC | @NitherDither | -0.45 | Criticizes Strategy's capital allocation and buyback economics with quantified evidence. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | MSTR | @NitherDither | -0.75 | Criticizes Strategy's capital allocation and buyback economics with quantified evidence. | -4.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | ASTS | @NitherDither | -0.25 | Argues SpaceX can disrupt mobile carriers through partnerships, challenging the ASTS bull thesis. | -30.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | SPCX | @NitherDither | +0.65 | Argues SpaceX can disrupt mobile carriers through partnerships, challenging the ASTS bull thesis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | TSLA | @NitherDither | +0.20 | Argues SpaceX can disrupt mobile carriers through partnerships, challenging the ASTS bull thesis. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | IBIT | @NitherDither | -0.25 | Sees further Bitcoin downside as possible and notes IBIT puts look historically cheap, but flags low confidence. | -0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | MTPLF | @NitherDither | -0.70 | Criticizes Metaplanet management's liquidity explanation and highlights losses and low trust. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-04 | · | @NitherDither | · | Oil sits on its 50-day average and could reach $115 under a geopolitical scenario. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-04 | PL | @NitherDither | -0.20 | Notes bounce potential but says all four space stocks remain below major averages and broadly bearish. | -23.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-04 | ASTS | @NitherDither | -0.20 | Notes bounce potential but says all four space stocks remain below major averages and broadly bearish. | -31.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.