Author

@ofirpress

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
28

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15·@OfirPress·Notes growing use of ProgramBench to study multi-agent swarms.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Clarifies that two benchmark/data setups are nearly identical apart from volume.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Shares the SWE-bench Multimodal leaderboard.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Endorses another benchmark as likely to advance the field, though details require linked context.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Explains that multimodal coding benchmarks test coding, image processing and sometimes 3D vision.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Announces the open-source launch of a benchmark project and identifies its contributors.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Reports launch of a SWE-bench Multimodal leaderboard for visual software bugs.·
2026-10-14·@OfirPress·Describes a method enabling language models to explain chess moves through generated board-analysis code.·
2026-10-13·@OfirPress·Argues frontier AI needs benchmarks formalizing the gap between agent capability and human needs.·
2026-10-13·@OfirPress·Proposes benchmark tasks that are long-horizon, real-world and scalable to collect from the web.·
2026-10-13·@OfirPress·Says many human tasks are now too easy for AI benchmarks and introduces new benchmark-building guidelines.·
2026-10-12·@OfirPress·Author mocks AGI claims based on the need for layered agent supervision.·
2026-10-12·@OfirPress·Author discusses benchmark robustness, LM-as-judge limitations, and possible post-training use.·
2026-10-12·@OfirPress·Praises strong ProgramBench results.·
2026-10-12·@OfirPress·Endorses research using ProgramBench and asks whether generated mutants resemble real bugs.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.