Author

@OphirGottlieb OphirGottlieb

Conviction AI-infrastructure analyst surfacing second-derivative buildout winners with disclosed Top Picks

Publishes original, long-only fundamental theses on AI-infra

trader score
+0.37
hit rate
45%
mean α
+0.27%
signals 14d
17

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, +0.27% mean alpha, trader score +0.37. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.6% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15·@OphirGottlieb·Speculates that a fund may recently have blown out.·
2026-10-15META@OphirGottlieb+0.40Sees a possible red-to-green reversal and says TSM strength validates META capex.-12.8%
2026-10-15TSM@OphirGottlieb+0.50Sees a possible red-to-green reversal and says TSM strength validates META capex.-0.9%
2026-10-15META@OphirGottlieb+0.55Argues hyperscaler capex will remain strong and META's spending is being validated.-12.8%
2026-10-15·@OphirGottlieb·Frames AI as a separating winners-and-losers trade favoring usage-driven companies.·
2026-10-15RBRK@OphirGottlieb+0.45Presents four profitable or usage-driven companies as resilient to frontier-model spending risks.+8.5%
2026-10-15CRWD@OphirGottlieb+0.45Presents four profitable or usage-driven companies as resilient to frontier-model spending risks.+5.3%
2026-10-15DOCN@OphirGottlieb+0.70Presents four profitable or usage-driven companies as resilient to frontier-model spending risks.-14.8%
2026-10-15SITM@OphirGottlieb+0.70Presents four profitable or usage-driven companies as resilient to frontier-model spending risks.-8.2%
2026-10-15·@OphirGottlieb·Notes buyers entering Treasuries as rates fall in a flight to safety.·
2026-10-14·@OphirGottlieb·Downplays the inflation scare and urges a long investment horizon.·
2026-10-09·@OphirGottlieb·High overnight rates are expected to keep $8T in money markets, weakening a bullish liquidity thesis.·
2026-10-08DOCN@OphirGottlieb+0.40Quotes DOCN describing growing customer demand for agent-friendly cloud infrastructure.-24.8%
2026-10-08·@OphirGottlieb·Suggests AI progress will soon encounter and transcend major capability boundaries.·
2026-10-08NDX@OphirGottlieb+0.20Dismisses a 1.3% Nasdaq decline as a normal one-day October move.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.