Author
@OrderBookShow OrderBookShow
grade Cx.com/OrderBookShow ↗
Crypto-and-macro trader running a setups show; cycle frameworks, charts, Polymarket odds
Posts technical trade setups with explicit triggers/stops, c
trader score
-0.05
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.02%
signals 14d
79
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.02% mean alpha, trader score -0.05. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.2% since posting (mean over 18 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | · | @OrderBookShow | · | Polymarket odds show 91% chance of no Fed decision change in July. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | +0.35 | Bitcoin cycle view expects new ATH but rejects $500k this cycle. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | +0.20 | Crypto is described as maintaining its bid while equities peel off. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @OrderBookShow | · | Crypto will eventually absorb trillion-dollar moves with only small drops; says still early. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | -0.15 | Bitcoin bottom expected to form as a range, not a single wick. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @OrderBookShow | · | Upcoming US June jobs report expectations and volatility warning. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @OrderBookShow | · | Predicts all markets moving on-chain with persistent speculation demand. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @OrderBookShow | · | Lower oil is framed positively for markets. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | -0.10 | Bitcoin downside levels discussed, including $40K and 30%+ drawdown risk for spot buyers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | +0.35 | Maybe long BTC after a sweep of range lows if setup appears. — Quoted setup says BTC testing range lows, maybe sweep then long if it occurs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SOL | @OrderBookShow | +0.35 | SOL setup discussed around monthly SFP, higher low and resistance, with bullish SMT versus Bitcoin. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | +0.00 | SOL setup discussed around monthly SFP, higher low and resistance, with bullish SMT versus Bitcoin. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | MSTR | @OrderBookShow | +0.30 | Argues Saylor cannot blow up like Luna because debt is long-term and not collateralized by Bitcoin. | +15.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | BTC | @OrderBookShow | +0.20 | Argues Saylor cannot blow up like Luna because debt is long-term and not collateralized by Bitcoin. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | ETH | @OrderBookShow | +0.15 | Crypto ETF outflows/inflows are framed as fitting bottom formation into end of 2026. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.