Author

@origoinvest

Japan flows/valuation color

japan

trader score
+2.27
hit rate
65%
mean α
+1.17%
signals 14d
23

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +1.17% mean alpha, trader score +2.27. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.3% since posting (mean over 13 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-23·@origoinvest·Argues an unidentified stock has attractive downside protection and could readily reach $25.·
2026-08-23·@origoinvest·Reports Braskem's next-day restructuring deadline, creditor demands and distressed bond pricing.·
2026-08-23·@origoinvest·Argues attractive corporate credit increasingly competes with long-dated government debt for marginal buyers.·
2026-08-23·@origoinvest·Reports CCC spreads above 1,000 bps and mounting forced-selling and maturity-wall pressure in leveraged credit.·
2026-08-23·@origoinvest·Argues Treasury policy faces intense competition for marginal high-grade duration demand.·
2026-08-23·@origoinvest·Cites JPM's $317B hyperscaler issuance estimate alongside falling coverage and widening tech spreads.·
2026-08-23MSFT@origoinvest-0.10Links higher long yields to AI-infrastructure issuance, citing a $3.9B BX/QTS deal at 7.2% and Alphabet paying up.+6.3%
2026-08-23BX@origoinvest-0.10Links higher long yields to AI-infrastructure issuance, citing a $3.9B BX/QTS deal at 7.2% and Alphabet paying up.-0.7%
2026-08-23GOOGL@origoinvest-0.10Links higher long yields to AI-infrastructure issuance, citing a $3.9B BX/QTS deal at 7.2% and Alphabet paying up.+0.5%
2026-08-21XYZ@origoinvest+0.65Bullish valuation thesis cites faster shipping, LTV runway and a Q2 purchase by Daniel Loeb.+1.7%
2026-08-21·@origoinvest·Trim the product-tanker trade into earnings next week. — States forward intent to trim an unnamed product-tanker position into earnings.·
2026-08-21·@origoinvest·Detailed bearish credit thesis on Guggenheim's fee-stream-backed loan and rising leverage.·
2026-08-21KLAR@origoinvest+0.80Added back KLAR around $14-$15 with an intact thesis and 2-3x upside. — Explicitly adds KLAR, citing valuation, operating leverage and litigation proceeds.-0.9%
2026-08-21GOOGL@origoinvest-0.10Added back KLAR around $14-$15 with an intact thesis and 2-3x upside. — Explicitly adds KLAR, citing valuation, operating leverage and litigation proceeds.+0.5%
2026-08-19PYPL@origoinvest+0.25Analyzes possible PYPL deal financing and dilution using OpenRouter as a read-through.-12.4%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.