@ozzy_livin ozzy_livin
Cycle-band and flow-driven crypto/macro trader who fades the shill crowd
Short-to-position swing trading and regime calls driven by p
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.36% mean alpha, trader score -0.52. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.4% since posting (mean over 12 mentions with price data).
Ozzy is mostly publishing systematic chart and flow reads rather than explicit trade calls, with concentration in Bitcoin cycle timing, SPX/MAG7 20-day levels, and broad ticker scans. The distinctive view is a rules-based AO/Vanna-Charm framework: Bitcoin remains constrained below 126K until late 2028, while SPX still has a high-probability path toward roughly 7000. There are no explicit directional trade calls or position disclosures in this payload.
The author’s signal set is consistent rather than trade-heavy: repeated BTC AO updates, recurring Vanna-Charm/OpEx framing, and many neutral chart-watch posts. There are no explicit adds, trims, exits, or CALL_DIRECTIONAL entries in the payload. Concentration is highest in BTC, with the main bearish claim that 126K will not break cleanly until late 2028, offset by a conditional ATH-breakout/alt-rally framework.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | · | @ozzy_livin | · | Claims Bitcoin AO indicator has worked since 2011. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | ETH | @ozzy_livin | -0.65 | Gives measured downside targets for ETH and SOL in next decline. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SOL | @ozzy_livin | -0.65 | Gives measured downside targets for ETH and SOL in next decline. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @ozzy_livin | · | Claims Bitcoin AO identified every crypto cycle top and bottom since 2011. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | NVDA | @ozzy_livin | +0.35 | Says NVDA 20-day and flow indicators are a powerful combination. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | SPX | @ozzy_livin | +0.15 | Expects tech names to roll over while SPX chops or grinds higher. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | IBM | @ozzy_livin | -0.35 | Calls IBM short squeeze in the window a bad omen. | +12.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | PGR | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | +7.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | LULU | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | +5.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | NVDA | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @ozzy_livin | · | Reports being up about 150% on June positions after following flows. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | UNH | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | BABA | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | +1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | FSLR | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | -9.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | AAPL | @ozzy_livin | +0.00 | Ticker and chart emojis only; chart context required to interpret stance. | +12.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.