Author
@PaezFinance PaezFinance
grade Ax.com/PaezFinance ↗
Fundamental value analyst on under-followed European and small-cap stocks
Publishes original bottom-up fundamental theses (and a podca
trader score
+0.41
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.24%
signals 14d
26
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 15 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.24% mean alpha, trader score +0.41. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.7% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | IBKR | @PaezFinance | +0.60 | IBKR slightly beat Q3 revenue estimates, matched EPS, raised its dividend and posted strong account growth. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Urges precise interpretation of wages, labor costs and national debt in economic debate. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Uses post-NAFTA unemployment data to argue international trade is not zero-sum. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Argues price competition spreads consumer benefits beyond the initiating retailer. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Argues minimum-wage bans on low pay can reduce youth employment and experience. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Uses rent-control occupancy data to argue price ceilings create shortages. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Explains how prices coordinate supply without central planning. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Compares countries to argue institutions matter more than natural-resource abundance for prosperity. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Argues incentives and outcomes matter more than benevolent policy intentions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Presents scarcity and tradeoffs as the core framework for economic choices. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | @PaezFinance | +0.65 | TSM beat Q3 revenue and profit expectations and guided strong Q4 revenue despite margin pressure. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPCX | @PaezFinance | -0.10 | Flags objective-based compensation as a factor to remember for both companies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | TSLA | @PaezFinance | -0.10 | Flags objective-based compensation as a factor to remember for both companies. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Outlines a healthcare report covering payer-provider economics, valuations and Medicaid cuts. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @PaezFinance | · | Contrasts insurer margin compression with resilient hospital margins and asks where profits rotate. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.