@Paul_Schatz Paul_Schatz
Transparent named PM trading ETFs by model and breadth internals
A named portfolio manager who runs a tactical, model-driven
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +0.58% mean alpha, trader score +1.37. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.8% since posting (mean over 16 mentions with price data).
Paul Schatz spent the window cutting retail and select legacy exposures while adding back into growth, leveraged Nasdaq, software, and cyber ETFs. His distinctive read is macro-bullish: inflation is peaking, doom warnings are overdone, and equities have more upside, though he remains critical of BTC’s risk underperformance and SPCX weakness. The clearest late-week shift was from selling some growth/tech ETFs to buying more MQQQ/QLD and adding IGV, FDN, MDB, MANH, and BUG.
The week shows a clear rotation: early sales in TGT, DG, XRT, RYPMX, SHW, IVW, QLD, and MQQQ gave way to later adds in MQQQ, QLD, IGV, BUG, MANH, FDN, and MDB. Conviction flipped back toward growth and Nasdaq beta by June 17-18, while retail and some fund exposures stayed under pressure. Concentration is not in one single long book name, but SPCX is a concentrated bearish commentary pocket with 100% of that theme’s signals tied to SPCX.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | QLD | @Paul_Schatz | +0.50 | Bought EMB GDX SSO more MQQQ IYR QLD; sold FSEP. — Author reports active buys/adds and one sale; max ticker cap keeps first six. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | EMB | @Paul_Schatz | +0.50 | Bought EMB GDX SSO more MQQQ IYR QLD; sold FSEP. — Author reports active buys/adds and one sale; max ticker cap keeps first six. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | GDX | @Paul_Schatz | +0.50 | Bought EMB GDX SSO more MQQQ IYR QLD; sold FSEP. — Author reports active buys/adds and one sale; max ticker cap keeps first six. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SSO | @Paul_Schatz | +0.50 | Bought EMB GDX SSO more MQQQ IYR QLD; sold FSEP. — Author reports active buys/adds and one sale; max ticker cap keeps first six. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MQQQ | @Paul_Schatz | +0.50 | Bought EMB GDX SSO more MQQQ IYR QLD; sold FSEP. — Author reports active buys/adds and one sale; max ticker cap keeps first six. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IYR | @Paul_Schatz | +0.50 | Bought EMB GDX SSO more MQQQ IYR QLD; sold FSEP. — Author reports active buys/adds and one sale; max ticker cap keeps first six. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BMNR | @Paul_Schatz | -0.80 | Calls BMNR garbage that decimated everyone. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Paul_Schatz | · | Mentions purchase price, high and current price but no ticker named in standalone text. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | PCY | @Paul_Schatz | -0.35 | Bought AGG and sold multiple holdings. — Explicit disclosure of buys and sells in a portfolio rebalance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GDXJ | @Paul_Schatz | -0.35 | Bought AGG and sold multiple holdings. — Explicit disclosure of buys and sells in a portfolio rebalance. | +5.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | EMB | @Paul_Schatz | -0.35 | Bought AGG and sold multiple holdings. — Explicit disclosure of buys and sells in a portfolio rebalance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | AGG | @Paul_Schatz | +0.45 | Bought AGG and sold multiple holdings. — Explicit disclosure of buys and sells in a portfolio rebalance. | +0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | QMAG | @Paul_Schatz | -0.35 | Bought AGG and sold multiple holdings. — Explicit disclosure of buys and sells in a portfolio rebalance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SIXF | @Paul_Schatz | -0.35 | Bought AGG and sold multiple holdings. — Explicit disclosure of buys and sells in a portfolio rebalance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Paul_Schatz | · | Says Dan Ives leaving to go all in on AI is important for sentiment. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.