Author
@pennycheck pennycheck
grade Ax.com/pennycheck ↗
Deep small-cap AI-infrastructure supply-chain digger with conviction longs and active shorts
Bottom-up fundamental and supply-chain research on obscure A
trader score
-1.75
hit rate
35%
mean α
-1.35%
signals 14d
12
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -1.35% mean alpha, trader score -1.75. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.6% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).
Recent signals12receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @pennycheck | -0.45 | VIX is rising while SPY falls, which the author says feels different from recent trading. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | VIX | @pennycheck | +0.45 | VIX is rising while SPY falls, which the author says feels different from recent trading. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SAIL | @pennycheck | +0.00 | SAIL is mentioned neutrally while SILC is described as having been heavily sold the prior day. | +10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SILC | @pennycheck | -0.45 | SAIL is mentioned neutrally while SILC is described as having been heavily sold the prior day. | -12.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @pennycheck | · | The author attributes gains to short covering and mechanical buying rather than fundamentals. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @pennycheck | · | Futures' resilience to Anthropic-related news is identified as the day's sole positive signal. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | WULF | @pennycheck | +0.45 | The author expresses a preference for WULF. | -10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | DJT | @pennycheck | -0.80 | Refers approvingly to an existing DJT short with a perceived expiration catalyst. | -11.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @pennycheck | · | Mocks Anduril's 48% valuation increase despite a weak defense-tech market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | NVDA | @pennycheck | +0.00 | Questions whether an unnamed company's claimed Nvidia collaboration is substantive. | -8.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | BFLY | @pennycheck | +0.35 | Reports a newly announced BFLY customer. | -22.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | BKSY | @pennycheck | +0.80 | Detailed bullish thesis cites new revenue, proprietary data, sovereign demand and short covering. | -22.4% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.