@PersimmonTI PersimmonTI
Anon biotech specialist who reads trials, IP, and M&A like an insider
Posts original biotech/pharma analysis - clinical-endpoint f
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, -0.12% mean alpha, trader score -0.32. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +4.9% since posting (mean over 94 mentions with price data).
PersimmonTI is almost entirely focused on biotech, with the clearest concentration in M&A positioning around APGE, ABBV, LLY and NUVL. The distinctive read is selective: constructive on APGE/Fairmount-Paragon and QURE accelerated approval odds, while cautious on EWTX placebo risk and DMD gene-therapy disclosure overhangs. Late-week attention shifted toward M&A spend data and APGE deal confirmation rather than explicit new position adds or exits.
The author’s attention is concentrated in biotech M&A, especially APGE/ABBV and broader 2026 upfront-spend positioning, while also making selective clinical and regulatory calls. Bullish emphasis sits on APGE and QURE, offset by caution on EWTX and SRPT/DMD gene-therapy risk. No explicit adds, trims, exits, or position disclosures appear in the input, so the trade-action record is empty despite clear thematic conviction.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | AMGN | @PersimmonTI | +0.45 | Calls AMGN/XBI a very attractive position, with chart link. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | XBI | @PersimmonTI | +0.45 | Calls AMGN/XBI a very attractive position, with chart link. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | XBI | @PersimmonTI | +0.00 | Says interested to see how XBI acts into the long holiday weekend without clear stance. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BBIO | @PersimmonTI | +0.35 | Positive post-hoc analysis differentiation for acoramidis is cited for BBIO. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | ABVX | @PersimmonTI | -0.15 | Reuters-sourced report says capital raise followed talks with potential buyers. | +9.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | TARS | @PersimmonTI | -0.25 | Mentions TARS short report and hints at concerns from PRs, but details absent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | LLY | @PersimmonTI | +0.05 | Bullish ABVX take on CEO candor, financing timing, strategic offers, and efficacy read-through. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | ABVX | @PersimmonTI | +0.65 | Bullish ABVX take on CEO candor, financing timing, strategic offers, and efficacy read-through. | +9.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | XBI | @PersimmonTI | +0.25 | Agrees with a constructive view on XBI without standalone details. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | ABVX | @PersimmonTI | +0.45 | Analyzes ABVX $600M offering and trading suspension as strong demand signal. | +8.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | XBI | @PersimmonTI | -0.10 | Expresses confusion about XBI move with no clear thesis. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | MRK | @PersimmonTI | +0.00 | Reports clinical-trial consent and China information-transfer concerns, no wrongdoing for MRK/ABBV. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | XBI | @PersimmonTI | -0.25 | Reports clinical-trial consent and China information-transfer concerns, no wrongdoing for MRK/ABBV. | +1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | ABBV | @PersimmonTI | +0.00 | Reports clinical-trial consent and China information-transfer concerns, no wrongdoing for MRK/ABBV. | +3.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | ABVX | @PersimmonTI | +0.60 | Suggests ABVX should receive takeover offers from pharma. | +8.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.