Author

@philrosenn philrosenn

Perma-bull AI/semis chronicler who defends the bull case with base rates and valuation math

Financial journalist/newsletter author posting near-daily ma

trader score
-0.64
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.25%
signals 14d
60

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.25% mean alpha, trader score -0.64. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.8% since posting (mean over 36 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16USO@philrosenn+0.70Reports USO's 127% annual gain and compares it with the S&P 500's performance.+4.8%
2026-10-16SPX@philrosenn+0.20Reports USO's 127% annual gain and compares it with the S&P 500's performance.·
2026-10-16SPX@philrosenn+0.45Provides bullish historical Q4 base rates for the S&P 500 in midterm-election years.·
2026-10-16SOXX@philrosenn-0.35Reports SOXX's 12.7% eight-day decline while noting it remains up 71% year to date.-3.1%
2026-10-16·@philrosenn·Argues the AI boom has further room to run and asset prices are headed much higher.·
2026-10-16SPX@philrosenn+0.05Quantifies weak breadth behind the S&P 500's 13% 2026 return.·
2026-10-15IWM@philrosenn-0.50Contrasts IWM's 11% drawdown with the S&P 500 remaining near its record amid higher rates.+0.2%
2026-10-15SPX@philrosenn+0.05Contrasts IWM's 11% drawdown with the S&P 500 remaining near its record amid higher rates.·
2026-10-15MS@philrosenn-0.50Reports roughly 20% drawdowns in three banks despite strong earnings.-1.4%
2026-10-15GS@philrosenn-0.55Reports roughly 20% drawdowns in three banks despite strong earnings.-1.8%
2026-10-15BAC@philrosenn-0.50Reports roughly 20% drawdowns in three banks despite strong earnings.-2.2%
2026-10-14SPX@philrosenn+0.55Cites strong historical midterm-cycle returns as the bull market reaches its fourth anniversary.·
2026-10-14SPX@philrosenn+0.10Reports a 12% index gain despite 203 declining constituents and narrow relative outperformance.·
2026-10-14XLK@philrosenn+0.55Reports energy and technology as 2026's only sectors outperforming the S&P 500.-3.8%
2026-10-14SPY@philrosenn+0.25Reports energy and technology as 2026's only sectors outperforming the S&P 500.-1.3%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.