Author
@PhotonCap PhotonCap
grade Ax.com/PhotonCap ↗
Anonymous deep-dive analyst mapping the AI photonics small-cap supply chain layer by layer
Builds bottom-up, primary-sourced theses on the AI optical/p
trader score
-0.73
hit rate
35%
mean α
-0.39%
signals 14d
241
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.39% mean alpha, trader score -0.73. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -15.4% since posting (mean over 206 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | AMD | @PhotonCap | +0.15 | Reports AMD and Intel venture participation in Salience Labs' $125M financing. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | INTC | @PhotonCap | +0.15 | Reports AMD and Intel venture participation in Salience Labs' $125M financing. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @PhotonCap | +0.10 | Reports Nvidia's research-stage optics-on-interposer prototype. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @PhotonCap | · | Argues optical feedback and microring stability are material CPO engineering risks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | @PhotonCap | +0.15 | Compares NPO and CPO tradeoffs and argues both support optical-component demand. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @PhotonCap | +0.10 | Compares NPO and CPO tradeoffs and argues both support optical-component demand. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | LITE | @PhotonCap | +0.70 | Strongly endorses Lumentum's role in Nvidia CPO architectures. | -13.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @PhotonCap | +0.20 | Strongly endorses Lumentum's role in Nvidia CPO architectures. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | ALAB | @PhotonCap | +0.20 | Positively endorses Astera Labs' NPO-versus-CPO summary. | -14.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | ALAB | @PhotonCap | +0.10 | Summarizes Astera slides on copper limits and optical scaling in Nvidia racks. | -14.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @PhotonCap | +0.10 | Summarizes Astera slides on copper limits and optical scaling in Nvidia racks. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AVGO | @PhotonCap | -0.05 | Highlights advanced-packaging progress alongside major CPO scaling challenges. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | @PhotonCap | +0.15 | Highlights advanced-packaging progress alongside major CPO scaling challenges. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MTSI | @PhotonCap | -0.50 | Recaps paper-trading losses, including MTSI down nearly 20% from entry. | -13.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | T | @PhotonCap | -0.25 | Characterizes AT&T as moving very slowly. | -10.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.