Author
@PhotonCap PhotonCap
grade Ax.com/PhotonCap ↗
Anonymous deep-dive analyst mapping the AI photonics small-cap supply chain layer by layer
Builds bottom-up, primary-sourced theses on the AI optical/p
trader score
-2.28
hit rate
40%
mean α
-1.30%
signals 14d
166
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.30% mean alpha, trader score -2.28. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.9% since posting (mean over 120 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | XNDU | @PhotonCap | +0.35 | Reports Canada's revised Q1 growth and a C$195M federal commitment to XNDU's quantum facility. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @PhotonCap | · | Warns markets may reprice again because Warsh did not explicitly commit to a September hike. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MRVL | @PhotonCap | +0.65 | Argues MRVL's higher FY2028 revenue outlook and stronger scale-up optics outweigh the post-earnings drop. | -10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MRVL | @PhotonCap | -0.45 | Reports MRVL's regular-session and after-hours close, including a 5.57% after-hours decline. | -10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MRVL | @PhotonCap | +0.25 | Calls results and AI demand good but flags margin disappointment and excessively high expectations. | -10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MRVL | @PhotonCap | +0.50 | MRVL reported solid Q2 results and strong Q3 revenue and EPS guidance. | -10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @PhotonCap | +0.50 | Reports NVDA gaining more than 8%. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SIVEF | @PhotonCap | -0.55 | Weak results and a technical breakdown imply downside risk unless the July low holds. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | QCOM | @PhotonCap | +0.25 | Qualcomm says Samsung and SK Hynix are supporting HBC development alongside HBM. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SKHY | @PhotonCap | +0.60 | CEO describes possible U.S. investment and expects strong AI-memory demand through 2030. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PhotonCap | · | Argues U.S. fab construction is advancing while semiconductor R&D funding materially lags. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | MRVL | @PhotonCap | +0.35 | Pre-earnings framework lists guidance, catalysts, support, resistance, and unconfirmed bullish setup. | -10.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PhotonCap | · | Maps the AI value chain and highlights power, cooling, and datacenter construction as undercovered layers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @PhotonCap | -0.10 | Reports an unconfirmed $12.9B NVDA acquisition of Hugging Face and explains the strategic rationale. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | TSM | @PhotonCap | +0.40 | Argues AI bottlenecks broaden beneficiaries from GPUs into memory, optics, power, and infrastructure. | -0.0% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.